March 2018 – End of Month Update … and Slack Brexit

Slack Investor remains IN for US, and Australian index shares.

However, it is time to temporarily leave our cousins in England – I am OUT for the FTSE 100.

… a tricky month for investors with all markets declining.  The Australian Index (-4.3%) and the US index (-2.7%) had solid falls but managed to stay above monthly stop losses. The UK index (-2.4%) has just had its third monthly fall in a row and finishes the month below its stop loss – Slack Investor must sell his FTSE100 ETF.

UK INDEX FTSE100 Monthly Chart Trade Cycle 29 Jul 16 – 29 Mar 18 – Click for better resolution – From Incredible Charts

As always, there is a time of reflection when I sell – I like owning a share of these UK companies – it is much more satisfying than owning cash. Slack Investor bought the UK index at the end of July 2016 and, after 20 months, is looking at a profit of 4.9%. Not a fantastic profit – but this is the fourth Slack Investor profitable trade in a row for the UK market (31.7%, 27.1%, 17.6%, 4.9%). For simplicity, dividends are not included in these calculations.

The Downside of being Slack

FTSE100 Daily Chart -Click for better resolution – From Incredible Charts

As I wrote about the upside of being slack last month, it is only right that I illuminate the downside. At times, there is a cost to being a monthly trader. If I was a daily trader that used stop losses, I would have unloaded the FTSE 100 on Feb 8, 2018 at 7170 when the closing price first fell below the stop loss. Slack Investor sold at 7056 a discount of 1.6% to the daily exit – but as mentioned many times, the piece of mind found in monthly decisions makes this a small price for me to pay. 

All Index pages and charts  have been updated to reflect the monthly changes – (ASX, UK, US).


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