Savings Rate and … December 2023 – End of Month Update

My last post on “Salary Sacrifice” got me thinking on the other things that I did to help myself on the journey towards financial independence. I have before stressed the importance of your savings rate as the primary tool in the box – and, more than anything, this is the number that will affect when you become financially independent.

This figure can be calculated a few ways, but for simplicity, let’s define it as your retirement savings as a percentage of your take-home pay (disposable income after taxes and deductions) – this can be calculated using fortnightly, monthly, or yearly data.You can work out your own savings rate or, if you are in a stable relationship with a combined goal, include your partner’s savings and take-home pay.

SAVINGS RATE (%) = 100 x (Total amount of Savings put aside for Retirement/Take-home Pay)

This savings rate is the percentage of your after tax income that you must be putting towards retirement – and it defines the number of years that you have to work until you can sustainably generate your expenses from your investments. There are some assumptions for the following chart:

This magical curve is presented below to bring a bit of clarity to your goal. The object is to get to the stage when your annual return on investments (Passive income) cover 100% of your expenses. This represents the beautiful state of financial independence.

From The Escape Artist – using the conservative assumption of a 5% return on your retirement portfolio after inflation.

In Australia, with compulsory superannuation, 10% of your gross salary is deducted from your wages. Taxation rates will vary, but lets just say that 10% of your gross salary is the equivalent of about 15% of your net salary (disposable income). You add your superannuation to any other retirement saving that you are doing to get your total amount of savings put aside for retirement.

Starting from scratch, from the above graph, if you worked continuously, and only relied on compulsory superannuation you enter the full-time work force and you are 42.8 years away from a retirement – where your living expenses are covered by the passive income from your retirement savings. In other words, if working continuously, a 22-year old starting full-time work will have enough passive income to cover expenses when reaching the age of 64.8 – relying solely on compulsory super.

In Australia, there is also the aged pension to kick things along after age 67. Obviously, if you want to retire sooner and have a bit extra for holidays, and to allow a bit of a safety margin, and be financially independent – You will have to do some extra savings towards retirement yourself.

How are people going with their savings rate?

For Australians, the compulsory superannuation system provides a sound base for retirement savings (with a working life of 42.8 years). This doesn’t factor in the government funded aged pension – subject to a means test. Currently the pension (September 2023) is $28,514 per year for a single person – But who knows if this will still be available at present levels in the future. It is best to plan for your future without it – and then accept it as a bonus if you qualify.

Although this sounds OK, any disruption to your working life (ill health, family, education, retrenchment, etc) will be a real setback to your retirement plans – Any work breaks will require additional savings for your retirement. In the US, the “average” savings rate was between 5-10% for many years. Despite some impressive savings rates during COVID-19, in July 2023, the personal saving rate in the United States amounted to 4.1 percent.

Statistic: Personal savings as a percentage of disposable income in the United States from June 2015 to August 2023 | Statista
From Statista

You would have to say … this does not bode well for a satisfying retirement for the “average” US Citizen.

What was the Slack Investor Savings Rate?

Rusted on followers of this blog will recall that I had a bit of a delayed start to thinking about retirement. I had just arrived back in Australia after a 6-year working holiday overseas. I was aged 30, broke, and the only thing I knew was that I didn’t want to continue working in the field that I was trained in – high school teaching.

Clearly Slack Investor had a bit of work to do. Once I was in regular employment again, I set about getting the financial building blocks in order. Emergency fund, house deposit … and then savings for my retirement. I did this mostly using salary sacrificing into superannuation and building up my own private share portfolio.

There is nothing Slack Investor likes more than burrowing into my financial history using the excellent and free “Sunset” international release of Microsoft Money. I use the  Australian Version. I have been using this software to track my finances since 1990 (33 years!)

Including superannuation contributions, my savings rate for retirement fluctuated between 20% and 45%. From the top graph, this represents a shifting rate that was equivalent to an overall retirement goal that required between 36.7 years and 19 years of working. Since “ground zero” at aged 30 and some extra education, I ended up working mostly full time for 28 years. Luckily, I had found a job as meteorologist that I really enjoyed.

This is not the “hard core” road to financial independence (i.e retire at 35, etc) – but Slack Investor thinks a reasonable compromise with the competing priorities of raising a family and buying a house.

Savings Rate is so important. Determine what your own savings rate needs to be to achieve your retirement goals – and automate your savings deductions as much as possible – and get cracking!.

December 2023 – End of Month Update

Happy Days. The year closes and, Slack Investor was definitely not naughty … a big December “Santa Rally” this month. All followed markets rose. The ASX 200 up a mighty 7.1%, the FTSE 100 up 4.0%, and the S&P 500 up 4.4%,

Slack Investor remains IN for the FTSE 100, the ASX 200, and the US Index S&P 500.

All Index pages and charts  have been updated to reflect the monthly changes – (ASX IndexUK IndexUS Index). The quarterly updates to the Slack Portfolio have also been completed.

Healthcare Haggle … and February 2023 – End of Month Update

6 Degrees Health

Slack Investor’s Dental Shenanigans

Laying in the dentist’s chair recently, I was confronted with the bad news that I was up for a dental implant and this would probably set me back about $8000 – Lucky I was lying down!

After the initial shock, Slack Investor resolved to start treating his interaction with healthcare in the same way that he would treat any other professional service. I have decided to be an informed consumer and take control of the financial side of my healthcare. Lets get some quotes!

An internet trawl and a few phone calls later, I had a quote for around $4000 – dependent on an inspection and a dental scan. After the initial consultation, I asked for a written quotation. The quote was emailed to me and, subject to some caveats about extra costs if any bone grafts were necessary, came in at $4050 – Bewdy, lets go with this. In a classic piece of “anchoring bias”, if someone mentions $8K … and you end up with a price of $4K, this new price feels like an absolute bargain.

In retrospect, I was satisfied with the whole experience and enjoyed the empowering feeling of having some knowledge of the range in costs for a particular treatment. Because I am lucky to be amongst the privileged 55.2% of Australians (June 2022) who have private health insurance extras cover (45.2% of Australians have private hospital cover only), I also claimed a rebate of $1400 through my insurance provider.

Private Health Insurance

The funding of the Australian Healthcare system has evolved into a complex beast – with Medicare being at its foundation since 1984 – but there is also a private system. The arguments for and against taking out private health insurance are well covered by the consumer advocates CHOICE.

Medicare and the public hospital system provide free or low-cost access for all Australians to most of these health care services. Private health insurance gives you choice outside the public system.

The Australian Health System

As well as the Medicare Levy, 2% of your taxable income for most people, there is also the Medical Levy Surcharge which is an additional charge to encourage high earners to get private health insurance. Again, this is a bit complex, but if you are single with a taxable income (plus fringe benefits, super, etc) of greater than $90K, you are better off with private health insurance hospital cover.

The consumer body CHOICE has a calculator to answer if it financially makes sense to get private health insurance – but this is not just a financial issue, it depends on your circumstances and philosophy.

It is also important to know that there are a few areas that private medical insurance does not cover.

  • GP visits
  • Consultations with specialists in their rooms
  • Out-of-hospital diagnostic imaging and tests.

These services are under the umbrella of Medicare and their list of approved services and government subsidies available, the Medicare Benefits Schedule (MBS). If Medicare doesn’t cover the full cost of your treatment you will have to pay the difference, known as ‘the gap’ or “out of pocket expenses”.

Engaging with Medical Specialists

Again, I recognize my fortune in having private extras insurance cover and being in a large city (Melbourne) where there is choice in medical specialists.

Rather than getting a “big surprise” bill, I have resolved to be pro-active and informed when dealing with specialists.

It’s your right to get an estimate of costs from your doctor or hospital before you agree to have treatment. This helps you understand what you might have to pay.

Department of Health and Aged Care

If I think that I am in need of specialist’s attention, before I arrive at my GP asking for a referral, I get into research mode OR, if I haven’t had the chance to do any research, I will ask my GP for an open referral.

The reason for this is that my private health insurance provider has arrangements with some specialists to charge either a “No Gap” or a “Known Gap” arrangement. My insurance provider HCF have, on their member pages, a place where you can search for their preferred specialists in your area. They also have a good guide on questions to ask your doctor/specialist at your first consultation.

Medicare contributes a set amount for each treatment or procedure, as laid out in the Australian Government’s Medicare Benefits Schedule (MBS). For in-hospital treatment, Medicare pays 75% of the MBS fee; your insurer pays the other 25% (provided you’re covered for the service).

Department of Health and Aged Care

For in-hospital services, the Medical Cost Finder is an Australian Government site for estimating your out of pocket expenses for an operation. For example, the results below are for a Knee Replacement in a private hospital that indicate a typical $1600 out of pocket cost.

Output from Medical Cost Finder for Knee replacement in Melbourne

For “out of hospital” consultations with specialists in their rooms, where no private insurance claims can be made, get on the phone and ask the receptionist at a few places for typical “out of pocket” costs before you make an appointment. When you decide on a specialist and feel comfortable with him/her, ask for a written quote with any gap fees for any further work.

For a deeper dive, CHOICE have a number of tips on how to avoid out-of-pocket healthcare costs.

February 2023 – End of Month Update

Slack Investor remains IN for Australian index shares, the US Index S&P 500 and the FTSE 100.  It was a mixed month for the Slack Investor followed markets. The FTSE 100 is powering on, but both the ASX 200 an S&P 500 drifting south (FTSE100 +1.4%;  ASX 200 -2.9%; S&P500 -2.6%).

All Index pages and charts  have been updated to reflect the monthly changes – (ASX IndexUK IndexUS Index).

In full financial empowerment mode, Slack Investor set aside an hour and 10 minutes of his valuable time this month to get a better deal on some of his fixed costs. Good Results.

TaskInternet Research TimePhone TimeResult
Home Loan15 min5 min0.65% reduction in Interest rate – now 4.95%
Car Insurance (comprehensive)40 min10 minReduced annual payment from $1204 to $1031 ($173 saving p.a.)

Asset Decisions … and March 2022 – End of Month Update

Between Wealth and Love – by William-Adolphe Bouguereau– From Arthive.com (Private Collection)

Slack Investor doesn’t face such vexed issues as this poor young woman. In this sad, but beautifully painted, scene from the 16th Century there are two suitors – the old bearded one offering wealth in a jewellery box, while the young musician offers only love. Her gaze is turned away from both men and she has a despondent expression that suggests that the decision may not be hers alone.

My decisions seem feeble in comparison to the young girl depicted by Bouguereau. Looking at this painting just reinforces to me that men must do a better job of recognizing some of the often horrible decisions that women have to make. Sure, things have improved for women since the 16th Century – but there is still plenty of inequalities. It is the duty of all men to “lean in” and try to make things better.

Asset Allocation Decisions before the end of the financial year

Slack Investor likes to have a look at my income producing piles at this time of year – The Stable Income pile and the Investments pile. I have to decide how to allocate money for living expenses and how to allocate the amounts in my investment asset mix before financial year end to get it ready for next year.

Lets just back track a bit here and remember that Slack Investor finances were thrown into three piles before retirement– a HouseStable Income, and Investments. Now that I am retired and fortunately have my house paid off, there are only two piles that really concern me – The Stable Income pile (30 %) consists of Annuities, Bonds, Term Deposits and Fixed Interest. I have recently added some shares to this pile that I think won’t be too affected by a share market downturn. This share tranche consisting of a small amount of property trusts, consumer staples and infrastructure shares.

The other pile is Investments (70%)- consists of mostly growth shares (high Return on Equity, historical and forward earnings growth).

Despite the tough recent times for growth shares, after extracting living expenses, the total of the piles has grown slightly so far this financial year (0.2%). With 70% growth shares, positive pile growth will not always be the case. But my asset allocation strategy should help be ride out the bad times.

Dividend season is almost over and throughout the financial year I have taken out most of my living expenses from both piles using income from annuities, interest payments, distributions and dividends. At this stage, my current allocation is 29% Stable Income and 71% Investments. In order to maintain my 30%:70% asset allocation, if I need anymore living expenses I will take it out of my over-allocated Investments pile. I will make final adjustments at the end of the financial year – so that the initial allocations are roughly intact (30%:70%) – ready for the next year.

The decisions I make on asset allocation are to keep my nest egg in good shape – so that it continues to provide income. In a good year for investments most of my living expenses can be withdrawn from the Investments pile. In a bad year for investments, then I dip more into the Stable Income pile. Also, in a bad investments year, I might cut back on my discretionary expenses eg. Travel.

March 2022 – End of Month Update

Slack Investor remains IN for Australian index shares and the FTSE 100 but OUT for the US Index S&P 500 due to a sell in January 2022.

The FTSE 100 was flat this month (+0.4%). There were substantial rises for the ASX 200 (+6.4%) and the S&P 500 (+3.6%).

All Index pages and charts  have been updated to reflect the monthly changes – (ASX IndexUK IndexUS Index). The quarterly updates to the Slack Portfolio have also been completed.

Here comes the Sun … It’s alright

The Beatles at Tittenhurst Park, 1969 – From Rolling Stone

It has been 53 years since the Beatles) recorded “Here Comes the Sun” from their landmark Abbey Road Album. It has been 18 months since Slack Investor installed Solar Panels on his roof and is in complete agreement with George Harrison … This Sun, “It’s alright”.

Here comes the sun

Here comes the sun,

And I say, It’s all right

From “Here Comes the Sun” – Songwriter: George Harrison

Always looking for distractions during the declining months of the stock market … and I can always rely on my solar panels for good news. Solar Choice evaluate solar panels in Melbourne (where I live) to have a 22% – 36% internal rate of return on your investment (that’s good!) – and then there is the mantra of “doing the least harm” by minimising fossil fuel use.

The road to Solar Panels

Firstly, great apologies to planet Earth that it has taken me 6 decades to harness some of the sun’s energy for my personal power use. But what is done is done .. and I am moving forward with the zeal of a reformer.

Like all big financial decisions, Slack Investor was not immune to procrastination. There is always an excuse not to act … ” I’ll wait till I pay off my mortgage”, ” I’ll wait till I get to my dream home”, etc. What I wished that I knew during these periods of hesitation was that solar panels on your roof does not only make environmental sense … but it makes great financial sense.

What is sadly missing in energy debates is an analysis of the “total environmental cost” of each way of producing energy. A 2021 report on production and environmental costs of various means of electricity generation in Europe revealed a compelling case to move to wind farms and solar panels to make electricity. This report does not seem to include the vital battery storage costs in its analysis, but another study found the use of solar panels with utility-scale battery storage will have at least 10 times less emissions and air quality impact compared with natural gas or coal for power generation.

A graphic comparing the cost of various energy sources, along with environmental and health costs

Slack Investor tries to do his homework before dipping into his wallet and, during his solar research, I came across a very informative website solarquotes.com.au. Not only can you find great information on solar energy, but they can arrange quotes from 3 local installers. The system is free to the homeowner – I have no affiliation except for the great satisfaction of using their service. Where I live in Victoria, Australia, the governments are encouraging of Solar Panels and offer incentives to install a solar panel system.

Solar Panels now on Roof

The hard part is always deciding on the detail and, after 3 quotes, only one installer actually climbed on our roof and assessed the shading of surrounding obstructions. I decided to reward this initiative and ended up with a

  • 7.7 kW system
  • 6 kW Inverter
  • 22 x 350W panels
  • Solar Analytics Smart Monitor and lifetime subscription (Well worth it!)

The total cost was $10 906, but with the Australian government $3750 solar credits and the Victorian state government rebate of $1850, out of pocket costs were reduced to $5306

After 18 months, the first revelation to me was the daily variability of solar output of my system due to cloud and rain. The next revelation was the seasonal variability of the output. During winter, the sun is low and relatively weak – Summer is the time of peak production. The third revelation is the economies of using your own power rather than exporting to the grid due to a lower feed in tariff – but that analysis is worthy of a future blog.

The raw daily production of my solar panels in kWh during 2021, showing large daily and seasonal variation – The red line is the daily expected average of solar energy generated by my system – 27 kWh

The projections from my installer suggested a return on my investment after 4 years. The first hurdle is to recover the environmental cost of producing the raw metal, silicon and glass of these panels. With the increasing efficiency of solar panels, the environmental pay back period is between 1-2 years. The next hurdle is the financial costs including installer’s fees. My installer projected a break even point after 4 years.

Pleased to report that, after 18 months, everything is going according to expectations. Go Solar … good for planet … good for pocket … Slack Investor happy!

I am 18 months in to this grand solar experiment, and 39% paid off. The savings come from power sent back to the grid and the use of my own electricity during the day. On current projections the financial cost of the system will be fully recovered in 47 months – Just 4 years!

Betting from the couch … and December 2021 – End of Month Update

The satirical website, the Betoota Advocate, have beautifully summed up the barrage of gambling ads on TV that saturate any sporting viewing on commercial TV – in a recent article “Game Of Cricket Interrupts Endless Stream Of Predatory Gambling Ads”

Australia: World leaders in Gambling losses

Slack Investor has long been appalled at the prevalence of gaming machines “pokies” in pubs in Australia. These “pokie rooms” are full of sad faces. With a machine “return-to-player percentage” of 85 -90% each gambler is methodically destroying any chance of achieving financial independence.

Australia is actually home to 20 per cent of the world’s pokie machines, because it is one of the few countries that allows machines outside of casinos.

From Eliza Bavin, Yahoo Finance

In 2019, NSW and Victorian poker machine gamblers lose an average of about $3500 a year in pubs and clubs – three times the average $1245 spent annually on electricity and gas. There are countless stories of the tragic consequences of poker machine addiction. Poker machines are concentrated in Australia’s poorest suburbs. The state governments are, in turn, addicted to the revenue from these gaming machines. However, this situation can’t be good for the community and it can be turned around. Western Australia has banned poker machines in Pubs and Clubs. If you want to ban these machines or reduce their harm in your state – Let your state representative know.

Gambling Losses in $USD – Australia are the biggest gambling losers, per capita, in the world! Not anything to be proud of- From savings.com.au

Online Gambling and Sports Betting

Pokies aren’t the only gambling demon. Online betting, which includes sports betting, is expected to be the fastest-growing gambling segment over the next 5 years, compounding at 11.5% per year. In 2017, sports betting accounted for 25% of all money bet by Australians. The target of these betting companies is young men (aged 18-34 years) who are most most likely to sign up for new online accounts and to be at risk of long term gambling-related harm.

Since March 2020, the stock markets have been quietly accumulating and Slack Investor has spent some quality time on the couch – Sometimes watching sport. Hitting me in the face have been an avalanche of betting advertisements enticing me to get an app, to lay down some hard-earned cash on a match outcome, identify a “first try scorer” or a “multi” (???). Always, I am advised to “gamble responsibly” but this guidance is always accompanied with a wry grin as they collect my credit card details.

Commercial TV networks all seem to have an overlay of gambling ads as they cling to this growing industry – as their other advertisers are looking elsewhere. One of Australia’s largest advertisers is Sportsbet, they spent $AUD 139 million on ads in 2020. It is all about “Brand awareness”. In 2021, US Sports betting companies have spent a staggering $USD 1.2 billion on acquiring new customers. This will only increase as more US states legalize sports betting. With brand awareness comes a desire to download an app, promotional codes are given for gambling credits, you give your own bank details, place a bet … and suddenly you are a customer, and subject to further online conversion.

Slack Investor can see that gambling can introduce a bit of excitement to a life, but I would always take the long view. What are the chances that I would succeed in any form of gambling with repeated trials – where the odds are set by hardened professional compilers. Rather than gambling, I would much rather invest in a growing companies that produces useful things. That’s enough excitement for me.

Gambling is a “tax on stupidity”

Attributed to Samuel Johnson – Or Voltaire (When talking about Lottery)

What can you do?

Three-quarters of 8 to 16-year-olds interviewed could name at least one gambling brand, and one-quarter could name four or more.

Based on a 2016 survey of Australian children in NSW and Victoria

If you would like tougher rules to stop the saturation of prime-time television with gambling ads in Australia, you can put the commercial TV Networks on Notice and register a complaint with the Free TV umbrella organization. It seems to be that the language they understand is the threat to move your viewing to the streaming services that don’t show harmful and repetitive gambling ads (Netflix, ABC iview etc.). Slack Investor is not sure how effective this is – but it made me feel better.

December 2021 – End of Month Update

Slack Investor remains IN for Australian index shares, the US Index S&P 500 and the FTSE 100. All Slack Investor followed markets this month had substantial rises (ASX 200 +2.6%; FTSE 100 +4.6%; S&P 500 +4.4%).

Well, Santa did come to most index holders. The theory is that, in the US market, there is a lot of spending at this time of year (good for retail) and pay bonuses are also awarded at this time. The “Santa Claus Rally” has occurred 76% of the time between 1950 to 2019. Although this seems to be a regular calendar event, Slack Investor would not bet on it – as there also have been some sharp declines in December – particularly in the last ten years. Long-term accumulation for me – but it is a delight to see Santa when he comes.

Slack Investor has been busy with adjusting stop losses upwards again for the US Index. In these over-valued times for the US Index, and to a much lesser extent the Australian Index, I am keeping my stop loss within 10% of the end of month price. See the US Index page for details.

Monthly chart for the US Index (S&P 500) showing upward movement of the Slack stop loss from 4278 to 4495 – from Incredible charts

All Index pages and charts  have been updated to reflect the monthly changes – (ASX IndexUK IndexUS Index). The quarterly updates to the Slack Portfolio have also been completed.

Two Very Important Numbers

There are many numbers to note in finance world – Fees, Investment returns, etc. However, there are two extremely important numbers when it comes to financial independence. Both are percentages and the first one is the 4% “rule of thumb” and the second is your savings rate.

The 4% Rule

All followers of finance blogs would have heard of this often quoted “rule” Slack Investor acknowledges that this magic number is arguable and depends on individual circumstances but, it is an excellent way to estimate how much you will need to retire. The 4% rule is a way to “roughly” link assets with income. For example, as an estimate, if you would like to generate a $40 000 yearly income, you would need to have investments assets of $1 000 000 to earn this income using the 4% rule (4% of $1 000 000 = $40 000).

Another way of looking at this 4% rule is that you need to save 25 x your annual spending for your retirement fund so it can generate an income to cover your spending. So, if you spend $30 000 a year, you need a portfolio of $750 000 (25 x $30 000). To get an idea about what your expenses are it is important that you track them over a year using a spreadsheet or finance software. If necessary, this investment income can always be supplemented by a government pension or a part-time job.

Bill Bengen originally came up with this “4% safe withdrawal rate” in 1994. He developed it by backtesting a conservative US portfolio with data dating back to 1920 and tried to get a safe withdrawal rate that would generate an income for at least 30 years. He is the first to admit that the 4% number was always treated too simplistically and has since updated the rate to be closer to 4.5%.

Slack Investor is a bit old fashioned in liking to hold on to most of the capital that is earning the money and has a flexible approach to how much to extract from investments each year. In a good year for the stock markets, I am happy to dig deep into the investments pile – using dividends, distributions and even some capital gains as income. When the market performs poorly, it is more complicated and I have to dip into my stable income pile. Most of the Slack fund is in Australian Investments and in 2021, the Australian Index has a 12-month forward dividend yield of 3.5% . Hopefully, the shares will also increase in value over time. Over the past 10 years, Australian shares had a total return of almost 7% – with growth shares you can aim higher, but prepare for volatility. In the good years, I will also take out a bit of capital gain for extra spending. All of this is in addition to the stable income component of my investments.

Your Savings Rate

“Wealth consists not in having great possessions but in having few wants.”

Epicetus

Using the 4% rule we estimate how much will give us a sustainable retirement. But there is another number to add to our arsenal.

Just as in Lord of the Rings there is ” one ring to rule them all…”, there is also one “percentage” to rule them all in the Financial Independence world – and that is the Savings Rate percentage.

The annual expenses is critical here as this is the figure you are trying to generate out of investment income. Lets have a look at the effect that savings rate has on the number of years that you have to work until you can sustainably generate your expenses from your investments. The table below is from the great financial blogger Mr Money Mustache. There are a few assumptions used to generate this table

Here’s how many years you will have to work for a range of possible savings rates, starting from a net worth of zero:

At a saving rate of 10% you will have to work for over 50 years – we have to do better than that! There are some pretty heroic savings rates amongst financial bloggers e.g Aussie Firebug 61%; Dividends Down Under 61%; I have admiration for these savings rates and note that these bloggers are in a hurry to get to financial independence – and retire early. At 60% savings you can retire after 12.5 years of working and saving – but that sounds pretty hard.

Slack Investor was on a much slower train and lucky that he quite enjoyed his job – and didn’t mind spending 30 years saving for his retirement. I have always been a good saver but, when looking at my past savings rates, it was usually around the 30-40% level and, some years had dropped down to 20%. Raising a family and holidays are a delightful interference with savings and you just have to find a balance. In Australia, we have compulsory superannuation which currently adds a welcome 9.5 % to your savings rate.

A beautifully presented calculator at Networthify shows how the savings rate works and gives a yearly breakdown. It also shows some interesting OECD statistics for average National savings rates (e.g. The US 6%, and India 32%). The aim is to eventually save enough money to invest in a way that you average (at least) 5% return on your investments after infation. If you withdraw from this retirement pool at the rate of 4% and have enough to cover 100% of your expenses – you become financially independent – the retirement pool keeps on giving!

Automate your savings

One of the best financial habits that I formed was to take the thinking out of saving and set up automatic recurring transfers from my work money to my savings or investment accounts – Pay Yourself First. I also took full advantage of “concessional contributions” to my super account which were taxed at 15% rather than my then marginal rate of 37%.

So, automate your savings. Investment returns are important and we hope that we can exceed the 5% after inflation returns that the above table and 4% rule are based on. However, the number you have most control over is your savings rate – and that is most important.

The Slack Way to Financial Freedom: Episode 1 – Saving

Generational wisdom … Homer style. – From Source (May be subject to copyright)

Now Slack Investor admits to being a lucky bloke. and recognizes that many are doing it tough and just haven’t got the income to engage on a savings program. This post is not for you, and I hope that your fortunes will turn around soon. This post is the first in a series –  for people with choices on how they spend their income.

Save more than you spend … Duh! – Obvious you would think – Sorry Homer, It is worth doing!

According to a June 2018 Members Equity survey , of Australian households, less than half of them are  putting something into the savings bucket each month.

Households who ‘typically spend less than they
earn each month’ (i.e. savers) eased further to 48%

Not only are the savers decreasing, but at the other end of the scale, the number of households that are in financial distress is increasing. The ME Bank report shows that more Australians are overspending – households who ‘typically spend all of their income and more’ increased 3 points to 11% during the six months to June 2018. Cripes!

Now the hard truth is out there … what can you do? Slack investor doesn’t pretend to have invented how to save. Any financial website will contain similar information. The advice is sound because it works. Just get started … this is the first step.

  1. “Go and have a long hard look at yourself in the hall of mirrors” Roy and HG
  1. Analyze your financial situation … Over a month or two, see what is coming in and what is going out. Many banking apps assign categories for your monthly spending in your statements. A pen and paper would do, but free software makes this task easy ( e.g. for PC, MS Money Sunset (Slack Investor way); or  Phone: Pocketbook). Track your financial habits – you have to get an idea of what is going on in your financial world first … and then, take control.

2. Set yourself some savings goals. ...

Now the interesting part, and this is the “Art of the Possible”. Be realistic here and set goals that you can actually get done. Unless you can you work more hours or get an additional job, it is difficult to adjust the income side. The real power you have is over your spending. There are some things that you just have to spend – Rent, Bills, food etc. However, it is the discretionary things that need looking at. It doesn’t mean that you cant have fun anymore … just less expensive fun!

The purpose of discipline is to live more fullynot less.” Master Po – From Kung Fu (see below)

The objective is to build up some savings – for a house or retirement. Naturally, if you have any personal debt (Credit Cards, Personal loans) you should get rid of this first. Keep your savings account separate from all others. The best savings method is what works with you – It can be a jar, or a monthly transfer from your transaction account to your savings account. Young Slack investor always found saving easier if he didn’t see the money.  – A direct debit just after payday into your savings account will get this done.

What you should aim for when you get your first full-time job is to set up good habits. There is a good “Rule of Thumb” known as the 50:30:20 rule where you divide up your take home salary into parts – 50% for essentials, 30% for discretionary items (Fun!) and 20% for saving. There is a little bit of mathematics to back up this 20% savings rate. The Money Under Thirty table calculates that it will take 41 years of 20% saving (earning 5%) to get your savings to 25 times your inflation adjusted income – This is the amount that is generally agreed to be sustainable using investment earnings to replace your income, using the 4% rule.

Do not despair with these calculations, they are just a rough guide – and there are some things going in your favour as:

  • You don’t need to replace your whole income in retirement – just enough to cover your yearly expenses.
  • Over the long term, investment return earnings would hopefully better than 5% – this will get you to your goal quicker.
  • In Australia, if you earn over $450 per month, your employer is already contributing 9.5% of your wages to your retirement savings (Superannuation).
  • In Australia, we are in the very fortunate to have Medicare, a universal health system that subsidises health care for Australian citizens and permanent residents.
  • Although Slack Investor encourages readers to aim for complete financial independence in retirement. Under current rules, for Australians, there is a “sweet spot” for home owning couples of $400 000 in superannuation savings. Using a mix of the Age Pension and Super, couples can have a retirement income of $52,395 per annum. This bizarre sweet spot will be expanded upon in later posts.

3. Build an emergency fund.

In June 2018, a significant majority of households (62%) continued to report that they ‘could not easily raise $3,000 for an emergency’ – a percentage point lower than six months ago … ME Bank survey 

Do not be part of this 62%, it is so important to have that “cushion of cash” – from which your financial independence can build. You must be ready for the many unexpected things that life can throw at you -$3000 in an online account  is a good start and will help you sleep better at night. 

Youtube excerpt from Kung Fu (3:35) where wisdom is imparted from Master Po to Grasshopper (May be subject to copyright)

The next part of the Slack Way to Financial freedom is Investing. But, to paraphrase Master Po from the old TV Series (1972) Kung Fu

“Grasshopper … you are not ready for this … until you have mastered saving”

PS … If the discipline of saving gets too much, I recommend a bit of Youtube Roy and HG magic (12:39) here for light relief.

I WISH I could save on petrol

 

What is it about people and petrol prices? … OK …not all people!

However, It does qualify as a “Barbecue Stopper” (Thanks Fiona Katauskas … and Tony Abbott?) when the petrol price suddenly rises or falls, its in the news and people talk. It can start up some irrational behaviour. I did know a bloke who would fill up jerrycans of petrol on any fuel price reduction.

Cartoon by Fiona Katauskas – Source

Slack Investor has been guilty of it himself … driving across town to save 4c per litre … and perhaps using the amount of fuel that I am supposedly saving! Fuel prices are important to Australians as only a few Australian cities have great public transport networks – and the car is a necessary evil, and petrol is a non-discretionary expense, in a lot of cases.

WISH cards are gift cards that can be purchased at a 5% discount at a variety of places I get mine through RACQ, a local motoring organisation that has member discounts. You apply online and you can get a physical WISH card or an e-gift card number that you can use straight away at any Woolworths aligned store or petrol station.

5% discount doesn’t sound like much – Why would you bother? – I would usually agree, but, if there is no inconvenience to using the card, Why Not!

Let me give you an example. My current cost for petrol is $1.44 per litre, using the e-gift card (which I buy $500 lots and hide in my car! …I admit, there is some risk here … but so far so good!). The 5% discount is a saving of over 7c per litre – which can be added to any other loyalty discount (usually 4c per litre).

Now, Slack Investor does not want to create the impression that he is excessively frugal – I enjoy spending money on things that I like e.g., travel. However, all day to day expenses should be examined in a rational way so that you can then use any savings to do the things you enjoy – or, to increment your way towards financial independence.

Financial Winners

There are many ways to measure a happy and successful life – and financial security is just a part of this. Benjamin Franklin best sums it up

“Content makes Poor Men Rich; Discontent makes Rich Men Poor.”

To be grateful and happy with our many blessings is a good place to start – But, to be financially secure is one of the three tenements of a happy life. My Dad did give me the great advice …

“The only time that you use borrowed money is for the purchase of appreciating assets.”

This meant I would avoid the crippling credit card interest by paying off my credit card balance every month (Admittedly, there were a few slip-ups!) and, most importantly, if I wanted a car or holiday, I would have to save up for it first – and pay cash before the glorious enjoyment of my purchase.

However, (hopefully) appreciating assets like property or shares were given the big tick by my Dad – and it was OK to borrow money for them. I suppose my Dad would have made an exception to the rule if you were investing in yourself. Spending borrowed money on things like education or, if you are just starting out, tools, a work ute, or office equipment – can be justified.

This makes Slack Investor a bit of an outlier in the community considering the amount that the average Australian owes on credit cards. ASIC has a Debt Clock and they point out that there is around $32 billion owing on Australian credit cards, that’s an average of around $4,300 per card holder!

There are some basic rules for getting ahead financially and Noel Whittaker points out the differences between winners and losers in the financial game.

“The winners borrow at low rates of interest, subsidised by the Tax Office, to buy growth assets such as property and shares that increase in value over time. The losers borrow at high rates of interest, non tax-deductible, for consumer items such as cars that depreciate in value.”

You can argue about the fairness of negative gearing and capital gains concessions (I think rightly!) and superannuation concessions (Which have been recently reigned in) – but these are the existing rules.

If you start at a young age with just my Dad’s advice …  and only borrow to invest in, hopefully, appreciating assets – it will be a good start. My Dad was an understanding bloke and would appreciate that there were some cases where the rules need to be broken – i.e. suppose that you needed a car for your job – but he would insist that If I did borrow for a car that I would shop around an get the best loan deal … and hopefully, I would be able to pay it off early.

Slack Investor can’t guarantee financial security – but If you follow my Dad’s simple advice you will be on the right path to be a financial winner.