Auto-Diversification … and September 2024 – End of Month Update

Slack Investor tries to be a little diversified in his investing with his Three Pile Theory. Although my Investment Pile (The Slack Fund) consists mostly of Australian and International Shares, my Stable Pile (about 30% of retirement funds) consists of annuities, Real Estate ETFs, Fixed Interest products, some high dividend paying shares and some Cash. I own no bonds, Gold or Cryptocurrency. I am not very strict about rebalancing … but, that’s because I am slack! Deep down however, I’m convinced that diversification makes good financial sense.

A quick look at the yearly Vanguard diversification table below shows the percentage annual total returns for 9 different asset classes. I have only shown the last 17 years, but the 30-yr table can be found here in .pdf form.

Total returns for each asset class for the 30 years since 1992 – Check out the full 30-yr glory of the Vanguard 2024 – Importance of Diversification.pdf – Click this chart for better resolution.

For financial year 2024, the best performers were: Australian listed property returned 24.6%, US shares 24.1% and hedged ($AU) International shares 21.5%. The point of the Vanguard table is to highlight that it is very hard to try and predict the yearly winner. Slack Investor notes that International shares (particularly the US) have featured in the top 3 for a lot of these last 17 years. He also notes that Cash is a rare top performer – but, well done for 2022! It is always useful to have a look at the Vanguard Long Term Investing chart for a reminder of the compounding power of share investing.

Auto-Diversification

Superannuation

All of your Super contributions end up in a fund that is diversified to some extent. You usually can decide on how diversified you want it to be. For example, Australian Super offers, in their pre-mixed options: High Growth, Balanced, Socially Aware, Indexed Diversified, Conservative Balanced and Stable offerings. Even their High Growth option is split into a number of different asset classes – though their ranges seem a little ‘loose’ for full disclosure to their clients.

Australian Super ‘High Growth’ Pre-Mixed asset allocation by weight – June 2024

Slack Investor’s instincts has always been to be invested with the highest growth option … though I did reassess this a few years before retirement!

Other Investments

OK then, super is taken care of … but what if you want a diversified option for other investments that could be assured long-term growth without constant input. This is where robo advice might shine. Robo advisors usually package a mixture of low cost ETF’s into a diversified portfolio with automatic re-balancing.

Slack Investor is aware of many robo advisers that operate in Australia. ValueWalk has prepared an excellent summary article. Valuewalk compares and reviews: CommSec Pocket, Spaceship Voyager, Betashares Direct, Raiz, Sharesies, Pearler, Stockspot and InvestSMART.

Just for example, I will expand on the offerings of Stockspot as they have been going the longest and have the most assets under management ($800m). I have no financial interest in the company – though I am impressed with their results – outperforming 98% of similar funds over a 5-yr period. Depending on the risk profile that you want, Stockspot uses various combinations of just 5 low-cost ETF’s – one of which is gold.

There is a sliding scale management fee for which all admin and rebalancing is taken care of. For example, for account balances of $200,000+, there is an annual fee of 0.528% per year.

When Slack Investor loses the ability to stock pick growth stocks effectively (or, perish the thought … shuffles off this mortal coil!), I will set up some succession plans that will move our investments onto a secure ‘minimal involvement’ platform such as robo advice.

Slack Investor is old fashioned when it comes to ETF ownership. I much prefer the robo advisers that run under the HIN system (Holder Identification Number) – where the ETF’s are registered in your own name. This makes things simple if the robo adviser should cease operations e.g. Six Park (Aust).

The alternative is the ‘custodial’ system – where the investments are held on your behalf. Although custodial models can have lower costs – I like to see my name on the ownership documents. Stockspot is one of the advisers that run under the HIN system.

Although Slack Investor is a great believer in finding out about financial things for yourself with the magic of the internet. This way is not for everyone. Let’s just be clear, for most people, if you want specific advice on wealth management, tax advice, estate planning or a multitude of other finance problems, you are best counselled to seek a qualified financial adviser.

However, if you have a lump of money that you want invested in a diversified way that suits your risk profile, then robo advice seem a relatively cost-efficient way to ensure your investments are spread across asset classes. Naturally, Slack Investor would like the fees charged by robo advisors to come down a little before he parts with his Slack funds.

September 2024 – End of Month Update

Another month with a big range of daily closing values. The ASX 200 (+2.2%) and the S&P 500 (+2.0%) are in all time high territory. The FTSE 100 languishing and down 1.7% for the month.

Slack Investor remains IN for all markets.

The recent strength of the US market has pushed the closing monthly value to more than 15% above my old stop loss. I adjusted the stop loss upwards to a new ‘higher low’ of 5119.

Weekly chart for the S&P 500 Index showing the stop loss revised upwards to the new “higher low” of 5119.

All Index pages and charts  have been updated to reflect the monthly changes – (ASX IndexUK IndexUS Index).

The quarterly updates showing the shares in the Slack Portfolio have also been completed.

Free Australian Tax Gifts

Slack Investor was taught to appreciate gifts and … who doesn’t get a little bit excited when they encounter free stuff. Australia offers many lifestyle advantages to those who live here. The Australian Government also offers a few financial tax gifts … for free!

Capital Gains Tax

A capital gains tax is usually applied to the profit made from selling an asset (usually property or shares). The tax can be seen as a reasonable part of the Australian income tax system (personal earnings + business earnings + capital gains). The tax is applied in the tax year of the capital gain at your marginal tax rate – although there is a 50% concession for assets held more than 12 months.

Your own home – A ‘Partial Tax’ Gift

Slack Investor is across the difficulty of owning your own home these days – yet, it is one of the major financial goals to achieve before retirement.

There is no tax for any capital gains on your principle residence in Australia. As those lucky enough to be in the property market, tend to change houses every 11.3 years (9.6 years for units), there are opportunities to passively increase your property stake without incurring any Commonwealth taxes.

However, the cash strapped state governments have got their hands on this free gift by applying Stamp Duty (Tax) to property purchases. These stamp duties can be substantial, For a $700K dwelling , a non first home buyer will pay around $25K (NSW, Vic, Qld, Tas), and over $30K in some states/territories (SA, NT).

Your Super after 60 – A ‘Solid Gold’ Tax Gift (for now)!

For most people, an income stream from superannuation will be tax-free from age 60 – MoneySmart.gov.au

Contributions and the earnings of your super fund are usually taxed, though this may be at a concessional rate. While saving your superannuation, it sits in an Accumulation account. When you retire, you can transfer some (or all) of that money into Retirement phase – an Account-based Pension. For FY 2025, the ATO have set a transfer balance cap (TBC) (limit) of $1 900 000 that can be transferred into retirement phase and remain tax free.

Up to the TBC limit – all earnings (Dividends, Distributions, Capital Gains) from your retirement phase Account-based pension are not taxableThis is a great gift to retirees!

Using the Super Balance Detective calculator from Superguru, you can see exactly how your super balance is tracking. ABC News have an excellent article How does my super compare to others? where references are made to the ASFA ‘comfortable retirement’ standard. All of these sources were used to make the following chart to measure how your current super balance measures up for retirement.

The Red line was generated as a track towards a $1.9m super balance at retirement. Although the red line super numbers are, admittedly, ‘heroic’. Readers of Slack Investor would always like to aim high for an independent retirement – and try to get at least towards the $1.9m in super at retirement that will maximize this tax-free gift.

A chart to see if you are on track for a ‘Comfortable’ Retirement (Yellow Line), or on a path for maximum allowable tax-free income (Red Line). The Red Line was calculated using an earnings figure of 6% p.a. The Green and Blue Lines are the average amounts of super that Men and Women have (ATO Figures 2021) – Click image to enlarge.

Thanks to compulsory super, people with a solid employment history will be on track to have a super balance for a ‘Comfortable’ retirement (Yellow Line). This comfortable retirement definition assumes that you own your own home and have access to the full (or part) aged pension.

Using the 4% rule, a $1.9m super balance at retirement will generate a $76 000 tax free income each year. This would be a ‘Very Comfortable’ retirement – but there may be a few changes in the wind.

But Wait … Division 296

This all sounds too good to be true … You’re right! The legislators are coming after this gift.

The Australian government is considering a very muddled legislation known as Division 296 – which aims to target large superannuation balances. They reference Total Superannuation Balance (TSB) for this proposal. The sum of any accumulation accounts plus any pension accounts. The legislation is currently held up in the senate.

Division 296 tax is imposed at a rate of 15 per cent on a percentage of earnings equal to the percentage of superannuation balances that exceed $3 million – treasury.gov.au

The concept behind this is very reasonable. Slack Investor doesn’t object to the idea of tax on large super balances. Super should ultimately be all about funding your own retirement – and not be used as a tool to preserve wealth for your estate.

However, in a sensible world, some amendments to the current form of the bill should be made. They include:

  • The $3 million threshold for the application of Division 296 needs to be indexed
  • In its current form, Division 296 unusually proposes taxation on unrealised gains – rather than being based on the actual taxable income. This is a first for the Australian tax system – it does not make sense and needs to be rectified.

No Guru, No Method, No Teacher – and August 2024 – End of Month Update

Van Morrison’s 1986 album No Guru, No Method, No Teacher – One of his best. Try a meditative sample – In the Garden

Van Morrison is said to have echoed the thoughts of Jiddu Krishnamurti when naming this great album back in 1986 – after 38 years, it still stands up!

“…there is no teacher, no pupil; there is no leader; there is no guru; there is no Master, no Saviour. You yourself are the teacher and the pupil; you are the Master; you are the guru; you are the leader; you are everything.” – Jiddu Krishnamurti, Indian Philosopher (1895 – 1986)

At the time, Van was influenced by his teachings and, in an Eighties interview, Van said I feel the meaning of Krishnamurti for our time is that one has to think for oneself” . This is just the way that Slack Investor feels about the whole world of finance – and one of the defining reasons for this blog.

The ultimate aim for Slack Investor readers is to fund your own retirement, but for most Australians, there is still work to do. The latest available ATO statistics (FY2021) indicate that the median superannuation balances for ages 65-69 are $213,986 (Male) and $201,233 (Female).

According to the Association of Superannuation Funds of Australia (ASFA) estimates – the minimum Superannuation balances required to achieve a comfortable retirement are set out below – and these figures rely on a couple of big assumptions. You need to own your own home and have access to the aged pension, or part-pension, to make this sum work.

CoupleSingle
$690,000$595,000
ASFA Minimum superannuation required for a comfortable retirement (Assumptions: Own Home and Aged pension assistance)

To retire independently (i.e. no government aged pension), a greater lump sum would be required! Things are slowly getting better with recent increases in compulsory superannuation. By 2050, the expected percentage of “comfortable retirees” should be 50%. This is outlook shows promise – but there is a need for more Australians to take action for themselves – Right Now!

Currently, (only) around 30 per cent of couples and singles reach or exceed the ASFA Comfortable Standard (in retirement savings) – ASFA Update – November 2023

No Guru

Slack Investor is no guru, the steps to financial independence are no secret – and are set out by many well known financial educators. There are so many great resources, for example: Rask, Aussie Firebug, Equity Mates, Making Money Made Simple, Strong Money Australia. For a step by step guide, nobody does it better than The Barefoot Investor. Buy his book, or try the The Barefoot Steps or, read Rask Media – The Journey to Financial Independence.

Slack Investor would add to this wonderful guidance:

  • Educate Yourself in the ways of finance – The internet and financial independence books are your friend here. No-one will represent your interests better than you
  • Take charge of your Own Financial Independence – Ride Your Own Bike
  • Automate your savings – Into superannuation and your own investments – What you don’t see, you wont spend
  • Your Savings Rate is a very important number – my savings rate while working and raising a family fluctuated between 20% and 45%. Far more heroic rates are documented by F.I.R.E. enthusiasts e.g. Strong Money Australia – this will accelerate your journey
  • Have a plan to buy your own place to live
  • Pay full attention to fees for financial services
  • Let time be your partner in long-term investing – start as early as you can.

The Slack Investor path was more of a climb up a cobbled street than a path. It involved lots of different strategies. Trying to maximise my superannuation contributions, buying a house to live in, using home equity to gear into individual stocks and ETF’s. In the last 10 years, I have been trying to invest mostly in growth stocks, without too much trading. This has been a good fit for my temperament.

Long term Investing

The real business is to be invested at least somewhere in appreciating assets – and let time do its work. Below is an extract from the Vanguard 2024 long-term investing chart. The numbers on the right are the results of investing $10,000 in the Index funds of the indicated asset classes for 30 years. It is Slack Investors favourite chart.

Extract from the 2024 Vanguard Index chart (Just the 2007-2024 portion is shown) – the dollar values on the right are the results of investing $10,000 in index funds in each asset class for 30 years (since July 1994). – Check out the full 30-year glory of the Vanguard 2024.PDF chart – Click image for better resolution of this portion.

August 2024 – End of Month Update

Slack Investor is IN for Australian index shares, the US Index S&P 500 and the FTSE 100.

The S&P 500 (+2.3) continues its enthusiastic progress. Slack Investor is pleased to go with the flow but remains nervous for the US markets.

For the ASX 200 (+0.0%) and the FTSE 100 (0.1%) – things have ended up dead flat. Although, all markets have shown a lot of variation this month.

All Index pages and charts have been updated to reflect the monthly changes – (ASX IndexUK IndexUS Index).

FY2024 Nuggets and Stinkers and … July 2024 – End of Month Update

“I think it’s fair to say you can’t predict a straight line to victory. You know, there’ll be good days and bad days along the way.” 

Dick Cheney, Vice President to George W. Bush from 2001 to 2009

Dick Cheney had a controversial career, one of his infamous bad days was when he accidentally shot a companion in the head on a quail hunting expedition. Slack Investor is delighted to report that, this year, he didn’t shoot anyone! In fact, FY 2024 was filled with good days to abundance.

The percentage yearly returns quoted in this post include costs (brokerage) but, the returns are before tax. This raw figure can then be compared with other investment returns. I use the incredibly useful Market Screener to analyze the financial data from each company and extract the predicted 2o26 Price/Earnings (PE) Ratio and Return on Equity (ROE). This excellent site allows free access (up to a daily limit) to their analyst’s data, on the financials tab for each stock, once you register with an email address.

Slack Investor Stinkers – FY 2024

Financial year 2024 was generally a “boomer”. All of Slack Investors followed markets (Australia, the UK and the US) have had a pretty solid year … especially the US! However, Slack Investor knows that stinkers are a part of the game, even in good years – and managed to attach himself to a few stinkers along the way.

Global X Battery Tech & Lithium ETF (ACDC) -15%

(ACDC 2024: PE 11, Yield 3.0%) I have owned this ETF for 3 years now – and I think I might have fallen for the “Theme Dream”. Despite some early promise in the “sexy” sector of electric cars and lithium batteries, this ETF has started to disappoint. There has been a string of bad news in the electric vehicle sector with an oversupply of vehicles. Both the EU and the US have slapped large tariffs on the Chinese EV exports – this has further slowed demand. Slack Investor is just holding on and has set a stop loss at $82. Current price is about $83, so I am very close to selling – and moving on.

Coles Group (COL) -8% (Mostly sold Nov 2023)

(COL Forecast 2026: PE 19, ROE 32%) Coles is where I often buy my groceries and I like the idea that you can regularly inspect your holdings. However, Coles Group are profitable but not really growing. This company does not really belong in my investments pile, so I mostly sold this holding. I might buy some for my stable income pile if there is a future weakness in price.

Computershare (CPU) -5% (Sold April 2024)

(CPU– Forecast 2026: PE 16, ROE 36%) Computershare was a stinker last FY for Slack investor. In retrospect, I can’t believe I bought in again for further punishment. I keep falling for the high ROE (36%) and relatively low PE (16) for a tech stock. Might have been a little early here in folding again – the share price has risen about 12% overall in FY2024.

Slack Investor Nuggets – FY 2024

Nuggets were everywhere this Financial Year. Slack Investor continues to invest in high Return on Equity (ROE) companies with a track record of increasing earnings. Companies with these qualities sometimes behave as “golden nuggets”.

Pro Medicus (PME) +118%

(PME Forecast 2026: PE 76, ROE 46%) Pro Medicus is a developer and supplier of healthcare imaging software and services to hospitals and diagnostic imaging groups. In 2019, Slack Investor met the CEO and co-founder of Pro Medicus, Dr Sam Hupert. I was impressed by his humility and passion for his great products. I’m obviously glad I bought in – but naturally wish I’d bought more! The very high predicted PE ratio (+76) is worrying but, in the past, product sales have just kept growing above expectations as PME expands into the US.

Altium (ALU) +106% (Sold pending takeover)

(ALU – Forecast 2026: PE 32, ROE 33%) Altium is an Australian based developer and seller of computer software for the design of electronic products worldwide. My ode to this great company expands on why I originally bought it and its great management team. Good luck with the new Japanese owners Renesas. For current holders, I think the cash payment per share is due today (1 August, 2024)

Goodman Group (GMG) +75%

(GMG – Forecast 2026: PE 23, ROE 12%) Goodman Group owns, develops, and manages (mostly industrial) properties all over the world. On a weekly bike ride, I go past a succession of Goodman warehouse properties – and they always seem to be thriving with activity. They even develop data centres that will hopefully be full of machines to manage the AI trend. Glad to be an owner.

Codan (CDA) +54%

(CDA – Forecast 2026: PE 20, ROE 21%) Codan is a technology company that specializes in communications and metal detecting. It is one of Slack investors core holdings that has taken him on what can only be described as a “journey”. A nugget in FY 2021 (+161%), a stinker in FY2022 (-58%) – and now back to a nugget (+54%). What has kept me in the stock was the low debt (generally) increasing earnings, and the high profitability (ROE 21%).

Supply Network (SNL) +54%

(SNL Forecast 2026: PE 18, ROE 36%) Supply Network are a bus and truck parts distribution company using the Multispares brand. Although there are competitors in the big-vehicle parts business, what sets SNL apart from the rest is their great management and strict adherence to processes and efficiency. They have consistently held a profitability advantage over their rivals. They have maintained a high Return on Equity (ROE) of 36% even as the company has expanded and grown in price.

Alphabet (GOOGL:NASDAQ) +52%

(GOOGLForecast 2026: PE 17, ROE 25%) For more good things on this company that is everywhere. High profitability (ROE 25%) and the predicted 2026 PE of 17 makes this still a good buy at current prices – in Slack Investor’s head.

CAR Group (CAR) +52%

(CAR Forecast 2026: PE 31, ROE 14%) Car Group is a collection of digital marketing vehicle businesses that are now in Australia, Brazil, Canada, Chile, China, Malaysia, New Zealand, South Korea, Thailand and the United States. The Australian business is still carsales.com. The ROE is slipping below 15%, but happy to hold on for now.

REA Group (REA) +39%

(REA Forecast 2026: PE 41, ROE 32%) Like Carsales.com, REA has dominated the space left by the old newspaper classifieds in selling real estate in Australia and has continued to expand overseas. A high PE ratio (41) but while projected Return on Equity (ROE) remains high (32%), this is OK.

Wesfarmers (WES) +39%

(WES Forecast 2026: PE 27, ROE 33%) Wesfarmers is Australia’s largest conglomerate. Great retail outfit (e.g. Bunnings) and chemical manufacturer. High profitability (ROE 33%) but like Coles, seems low on earnings growth lately.

Some honourable mentions to some top results this year that didn’t make the nuggets. BetaShares NASDAQ 100 ETF (NDQ) +32%; BetaShares Global Quality Leaders ETF) +27%; BetaShares Global Cybersecurity ETF (HACK) +26%; Dicker Data Limited (DDR.AX) +26%. A special mention also to a recent buy, Telix Pharmaceuticals (TLX) +23% in two months!

Slack Investor Total SMSF investments performance – FY 2024 July 2024 end of Month Update

Slack investor has just two piles of funds for his retirement – the Stable Income pile (Cash and Conservative) and an Investments pile. The Stable income represents just 25% of total retirement funds. I used to rebalance each of my piles after every year, but the stable pile now has enough in it that, together with dividends from my investments, could supply me with enough living expenses to last out an extended (3-yr) bad run of the stock markets – without having to sell stocks. The stable pile produces a moderate return of about 5%. The Investments pile is much more fun and the figures below represent (before tax) performance of my investments pile only.

After a difficult 2022, a solid 2023, some very good fortune was had with a ripper FY2024. Some fortuitous selections with growth stocks have really paid off (Thank you PME and ALU). In the Australian superannuation scene, the median growth fund (61 to 80% in growth assets) returned +9.1% in FY 2024. The ASX 200 chart shows a gradual climb after a shaky start for the financial year.

A record result for Slack Investor in his growth investments portfolio. His preliminary total SMSF performance looks like coming in at around +39% for the financial year. Including the relatively low returns from my stable income pile (~5%) – overall, my retirement funds grew about 30%. A very good year!

For Slack Investor, the 5-yr performance is a more useful way of measuring – as it takes out the fluctuations of yearly returns. At the end of FY 2024, the Slack Portfolio has a compounding 5-yr annual return of around 13%.

July 2024 – end of Month Update

The new financial year has started off positively for Slack Investor markets. The ASX 200 + 4.2%; FTSE 100 +2.5%; and S&P 500 +1.1%. He remains IN for all index positions.

I have taken the opportunity to adjust upwards the stop losses on all followed index markets. The prices have crept up to more than 15% above their old stop losses. See Index pages for details.

All Index pages (ASX IndexUK IndexUS Index) and charts  have been updated to reflect the monthly changes.

Slack Investor vs Centrelink – My Application for a Commonwealth Seniors’ Health Card (CSHC)

Slack Investor likes the quiet life, and doesn’t usually go looking for trouble, but a recent birthday put me at 67 – this is the age threshold for the Australian Aged Pension. Other than feeling old, this is not too much of a concern as I am a happy self-funded retiree.

However, in a generous flourish, the previous government made it much easier for self-funded retirees to qualify for the Commonwealth Seniors’ Health Card (CSHC). This card provides savings on some Pharmacy costs and gives easier access to higher rates of reimbursement for out of pocket expenses (Medicare Safety Net). Some GP’s will offer bulk-billing to CSHC holders as they can get a higher Medicare fee for these consultations. So, this card looks worth the effort if you qualify and, looking at the new numbers, most retirees not on the pension, would.

Health savings available to CSHC holders – From Laterlifeadvice.com.au

Do you qualify?

Age pension age and an Australian citizen? The critical test is your income … and not just any income … but your “Adjusted income”.

To meet the income test, your “Adjusted Income” must be less than the following:

  • $95,400 a year if you’re single
  • $152,640 a year for couples
  • $190,800 a year for couples separated by illness, respite care or prison.
These values are valid for 2024 and they get inflation adjusted each year

For Slack Investor, it was a matter of gathering scans of our most recent ATO Notice of Assessment for my partner and myself. Plus contacting my Super Provider to send me an income schedule for each of my Pension accounts – These are known as form SA 330 and are often requested for dealing with Centrelink, DVA, etc.

As we do not own an investment property, the only inputs to our Adjusted Income were our taxable incomes and deemed income from our account based pensions.

Any money in our accumulation accounts or bank accounts was not considered in our deemed “Adjustable Income” as a couple.

Noel Whittaker provides a handy calculator to work out your total deemed income from your pension assets (Currently about 2% of assets). I stress it is not the actual income from these pensions that is relevant – but the deemed income! The asset amounts of our pensions (Estimated for the application date – from your super fund or SMSF) were put into Noel’s Calculator. As the total of our deemed pension income plus our taxable incomes was under the $152,640 a year for couples, we proceeded with the application online through MyGov/Centrelink/Make a Claim or Review Claim Status. This is where the fun begins.

Handy Tips

Before applying, get some identification documents ready and your latest ATO Notice of Assessment (in pdf form). Make sure you have a MyGov account and have Centrelink linked to it. I used the online form to apply, and it was frustrating at times, but generally OK. Others have downloaded the form, filled it out and taken it to Centrelink for checking.

  • Contact your Super Funds for a SA 330 schedule that will give you relevant details of any Account-Based Pension that you own for the last tax year.
  • If you have a SMSF, contact your provider and they will furnish you with information on each of your pension funds. You will then have to download and fill out your own SA 330, as a trustee, for each of your income streams.
  • At one of the forms sticking points, I found the video on the application process by Brendan Ryan of Later Life Advice very useful – worth a watch for a 22 minute overview of this process (the video is found in the top left third of the page).

I must warn that this application is not for the feint-hearted – But do not give up! If you are having trouble, book an appointment with Centrelink – They will also check your documents if you are not sure.

The complexities of dealing with Centrelink and the CSHC have been entertainingly documented in the SMH and YourLifeChoices. There were several points where I was having what my mother would describe as “Sailor’s Talk” with my computer.

For all the frustration and “dead ends” encountered during the application process, I found a strategy of “Walk away – and try again another day” did the trick. Although, I will not find out about whether my application will be successful till July 2024, I did learn something useful along the way … How to Edit pdf forms – which came in handy as SMSF trustees have to populate several SA 330 forms with mostly the same data.

Using Google Chrome to fill out PDF forms

I don’t have any form-filling PDF software (e.g. Adobe Acrobat full version) and I am reluctant to install the “free” clients that usually come with some adware or a trial period. I was delighted to find out that this form-filling task can be done in my Chrome browser without installing anything extra. Locate the PDF you want to edit in File Browser.

Right-Click the file to open up the context menu – Scroll down to “Open with” a new dialogue box will open showing Google Chrome if you have it. Select “Google Chrome”.

The form will then open as a Chrome Tab and you can edit away then save or print your changes (Download and Print Symbol at top right of the Chrome tab).

Where to go fishing? – Part 1 – Profitablity and Growth

A Day’s Fishing (circa 1923)Edward Henry Potthast

The obvious answer is … where there are fish.

Slack Investor is always on the lookout for growth companies … particularly when he is on the BUY! Since retirement, I haven’t had much chance to be on the Buy side of a transaction lately – as there isn’t that flow of fresh new money coming into the coffers from employment. Pre-retirement, any new money would flow into the cash reserves of my Super (SMSF -Self Managed Super Fund). When a sufficient amount of cash had built up, I would look around for some company shares to buy.

However, with the expected inflow of a bit of cash with the impending sale of Altium, I am starting to look around for suitable receivers of Slack Investor loot. Slack Investor is “Going Fishing”. The first thing I want in my pond is profitable companies – but I also want them to have a record of growth. In the second part of this fishing series, I will try to narrow things down to companies that I would actually like to buy.

Measures of Profitability

Slack Investor likes a company, that he invests in, to not only make a profit – but to use its shareholder funds in the best way to make a profit. There are many ways to look at profitability, but Slack Investor is pretty lazy in this regard and you won’t find him forensically gazing over profit and loss statements from a company report. I prefer couple of simple ratios to get an overview – I am no expert accountant.

Return on Equity (ROE)

ROE = Net Income/Shareholder Equity

I have always used Return on Equity (ROE) as a simple measure to give an idea on how a company is growing. Strictly speaking, the ROE is more a measure of profitability and how well it grows each dollar of company funds.

The higher the ROE, the more efficient a company’s management is at generating income and growth from its equity financing.

Investopedia

This metric is very easy to find in market aggregator sites such as Yahoo.com, Morningstar, or Investing.com. For a deep dive, I prefer Marketscreener.com – which has the advantage of showing Predicted ROE for the next few years on each companies financial page. One of the problems with ROE is that, companies with debt can present an inflated ROE.

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

ROIC = Net Profit (After Tax)/Average Invested Capital

The purest way of looking at how good a company is in converting shareholders money into profit is the ROIC. Unfortunately, this figure is harder to come by on the generic financial aggregator sites. This ratio is superior to the ROE as it accounts for the debt levels of a company – as the Average Invested Capital is the Average Equity – Average Debt.

Measure of Growth

Compound annual growth rate (CAGR)

A quick way of determining if a company is growing is the CAGR. It is often constructed from past , data. The “Compound Annual Growth Rate”—is the annualized rate of growth in the value of the Earnings, or Revenue, over a stated period. The maths is a bit complicated and best done on a spreadsheet or a search around the financial sites. I found limited CAGR data for stocks at Morningstar and finbox.com

CAGR is defined as the annualized growth rate in the value of a financial metric – such as revenue and EBITDA – or an investment across a specified period.

Wall Street Prep

Putting together Profitability and Growth

Fortunately there are some really nice blokes in the financial world that share the burden of responsibility to educate people about the share market as well as operating a profitable business. A shout out to Owen Raszkiewicz of the RASK Group. A great place to start your financial education with Owen is his Australian Finance podcast that he co-hosts with Kate Campbell. Slack Investor will often tune in to their discussions.

Below is a table Owen prepared in August 2023 that ranks Australian stocks in terms of their profitability (ROIC – Return on Invested Capital – Column F). He also shows, in the last column, the stock’s historical growth rate for the 5 years 2017-2022.

From Rask Media – ASX’s best companies published August 2023 – ranked in order of ROIC- Click on image to enlarge

This is a great place to start fishing, metrics for profitability and growth in one place. Pro Medicus is standing out here – High profitability (ROIC 55.48%) and high historical growth (5-yr CAGR 24.22%). A complete picture needs both of these metrics. For example, Woolworths has a high profitability (ROIC 41.28%) but is laggard in historical growth (5-yr CAGR 2.10%).

The next article in this series will look at how Slack Investor narrows these stocks down and then screens them further with the P/E Ratio to try to make sure that each potential buying stock is not overpriced.

First Home Super Savers Scheme (FHSSS)

After discussing how hard it is for those trying to buy their first home. Slack Investor is compelled to provide some hope in the desire to own your home before you retire. The numbers are in … and, not owning a house in retirement or, losing your job before you retire, puts you at real risk of not reaching a comfortable financial position.

Whereas very few retired home owners are in poverty, most retired renters are …

Helen Hodgson – Professor, Curtin Business School
From – Retirement Income Review Final Report (2020)

There are very few existing incentives on the dusty twisted road to home ownership. They include Stamp Duty exemptions/concessions that vary from state to state. In Victoria, they are available for homes less than $750K. There is also the First Home Buyers Grant (FHBG), which, again, is dependent on which state you live. In Victoria, that comes in at a measly (but I’ll take it!) $10K.

All of these things are worth considering and applying for when you finally purchase a home, but the First Home Super Saver Scheme (FHSSS) is a lesser known arrangement that seems to make sense – but it requires a bit of “setting up”.

In order to make the most of the FHSSS, you’ll need to start planning well ahead of the time to buying a house/apartment (3 – 4 years?) – But planning ahead is the very trait that Slack Investor loves!

First Home Super Saver Scheme (FHSSS)

I did refer to the First Home Super Saver Scheme (FHSSS) way back in 2017 when it was just a twinkle in ScoMo’s eye – it started as an election promise to get the “young folk” on board as the government felt a need to at least be seen to be doing something to help first homeowners.

Normally, your super is a beautiful one-way savings vehicle where your retirement money is locked away, and compounding, until you meet a condition of release or, when you reach your preservation age. For most people, the big taxation benefits kick in after the age of 60 – but that’s another story.

However, the treasure chest of the FHSSS, is opened when you first start to make some extra super contributions (up to $15K per year).

Aussie Tiny Houses

These voluntary contributions can be withdrawn from your super when you finally ready to purchase a home – by filling out an ATO form for a ‘determination’. The determination will tell you exactly how much you can withdraw – it will be a little more than you have put in (your contributions – up to $50K – plus deemed earnings)- and waiting a month.

Getting the money out usually takes 15–25 business days … once you withdraw money to buy a house, you have one year to use it

Choice – First Home Super Saver Scheme: Can it help you get on the property ladder?

These extra contributions are over and above the compulsory super that your employer makes. The scheme works by making an arrangement with your paymaster to salary sacrifice into your super – up to $15K per tax year. Contributions can also be made by arranging with your super provider to make a personal super contribution.

The tax savings come about as, you only pay 15% tax on these super contributions – rather than your marginal rate of say, 32.5%. Plug in your own details into this calculator to determine your possible tax savings.

There are complexities and limitations that include not exceeding your concessional contribution cap of $27,500 – but your super provider will help here.

I would recommend all prospective home owners to take a look at this scheme. Assessment for eligibility is made on an individual basis … so couples and friends can combine their amounts – but start now – it will take a few years to get a useful house deposit.

Colonial First State outline a case study of a couple that have each started voluntary extra super contributions of $15K – After 15% tax this comes down to $12 750 p.a of contributions into their funds. After 4 years, they each have amassed $55K (4 x $12 750 plus deemed interest). A combined house deposit of $110K was possible using the FHSSS – and, using a favourite Slack Investor way of saving – deductions from your salary before you even see it! All of this with tax advantages.

Homework (get it!): – Potential homeowners – read about it – and get on the FHSSS!

Super, a home, and the Pension … a fruity mix! – and February 2024 – End of Month Update

Even Superman has his limits – Is it Kryptonite OR Brussell Sprouts?

Slack Investor writes a lot about Superannuation because it is a fantastic component to have in your armoury to establish financial independence – in a tax-effective way.

The ultimate aim for Slack Investor is to fund your own retirement, but in reality, according to the Association of Superannuation Funds of Australia (ASFA) estimates, a minority (43% ) of Australians of retirement age would be self-funded by 2023 – this percentage should increase as the compulsory superannuation system matures.

On 31 March 2023, 63% of the population aged 65 and over were receiving the aged pension (full or part), or other government-funded income support.

As so many Australians rely on a mix of both their super and the aged pension for retirement, it is worth revisiting the perverse ways in how superannuation interacts with the pension under the Assets test devised in 2017.

Your own Home

Before we get to this mix, by the time you retire, you do want to have a place to live and be free of landlords. This may sound impossible to some at the moment – but it is a vital part of financial independence. It can be a “tiny home”, an apartment, a place in a regional area …. as long as it is yours!

Tiny Homes – This 20 sq m little bewdy will set you back $32 000 – however, you still have to find land for it – and connect to services.

It is so important to aim to own your own home by the time that you retire – even if it is a 1-br apartment. Admittedly, this is so much harder than it used to be! Looking at the figures below, it is vital to get as large a home deposit as you can to reduce your borrow amount – this should be one of your early financial goals. However, without help, a multi-bedroom home near a capital city now seems near impossible.

If you dont have a deposit, October 2023 data showed that Australians need an income of more than $300,000 a year to buy a median priced home. Household incomes required were considerably less, but still “eye watering”, for outer suburbs and regional cities. e.g. Geelong $243,333, Brisbane $223,333. Apartments are usually less expensive – and require less income to service the home loan.

Things are really bad at the moment for future home owners. It was assessed that for the home market to “affordable” home prices needed to be on average 3.0 times the average median income. Currently, Australia’s housing market has a median multiple of 9.1! I am hoping that future governments will adopt policies that will reduce house prices – But I am not holding my breath.

Super and the Aged Pension

At its most basic level, superannuation is forced retirement savings for all working Australians. A compulsory contribution of 11.5% of your salary (from 1 July 2024) that will compound till your preservation age (between 55 and 60).

According to Treasury projections, about 60% of retirees will have less than $250 000 in super in 2024. This amount of super is not enough to fund a comfortable retirement. $250 000 in pension mode at the official Age 67 drawdown rate of 5% generates only $12 500 income per year. Clearly, many Australians will need to rely on a mix of their super and the aged pension for retirement income. The Aged Pension is available to Australians over 67 – but, it is means tested.

The bare minimum to aim for is the “sweet spot” in the aged pension asset test where your assets are a bit more than the maximum allowed for the full pension. Under current rules (2024), home owning couples can have $451 500 in assets (singles $301 750) and still qualify for the full government aged pension (at age 67).

In 2020, the Alliance for a Fairer Retirement System pointed to a super sweet spot of around $400,000, which can see a pensioner (home-owning) couple “earning $1,000 a month more than a couple with $800,000 in savings.”

Nicola Field (Using data for 2020/21)- Canstar

The first chart shows 20 different amounts of superannuation that you might have saved up by the time you are ready to retire – ranging from $150 000 to $1 100 000 above chart – from saveoursuper.org.au.

This next chart is far more interesting, it shows your total income from different amounts of superannuation (shown in the above table) mixed with the aged pension – for a home owning couple. For simplicity, these tables assume your only non-home assets are in super and the aged pension rates were those applicable in 2021 ($34 777 per couple). The essence of the table is still valid.

Total amount of retirement income – for a home owning couple – Combination of Part-Aged Pension (orange) and 5% of Superannuation Balance (Blue) for each of the 20 amounts of Superannuation Balance shown in the first chart (Using data for 2020/21)- saveoursuper.org.au

Bizarrely, there is a point on the total retirement-income (couple) table corresponding to around $400 000 in assets/super where an increased assets/super balance does not lead to an increased total income due to the asset test pension taper rate. Above that point, for those on the part-pension/super mix, the more super you have, your total income actually goes down. This strange anomaly exists for assets/super between $400 000 and $800 000 (2021/2020 data).

Clearly, the current assets test to qualify for the aged pension is unfair and provides a disincentive to save -and should be changed. But, until then, a major retirement goal is to use your super to get your total assets to near the sweet spot before you reach age 67.

(It)is not fair that people who forgo consumption and save more to increase their living standards in retirement and reduce their reliance on an Age Pension should instead get less retirement income. This is the perverse outcome for a large range of savings under the 2017 assets test.

Jack Hammond and Terrence O’Brien – saveoursuper.org.au

How the Assets test works (in real life) for the aged pension (2024 Data)

According to Services Australia, for the aged pension, assets are property or items you or your partner own in full or part – this does not include your home! It does include Financial Investments (Bank accounts, shares, managed funds, annuities, etc), Personal assets (Home contents and vehicles), Superannuation and Real Estate.

I had a recent example of filling in an assets form for a close relative. Her bank statements and investments were easy to quantify. We were advised that personal assets should be valued according to what we could get if we were “keen sellers”. It was suggested to us that, other than vehicles, most peoples personal effects would amount to between $5000 and $10 000. This proved to be near the mark as most furniture and home items end up having to be donated when finalizing a deceased estate.

For the table below, the aged pension and asset limits are current values* and correct at February 2024. Using 2024 data, the “sweet spot” for assets is now near $451 500 for couples ($301 750 for singles). If you had $250 000 in super, and your “other assets” added up $60 000 (Car $13 000, Bank Ac’ts/Shares/Funds $35 000, Home Contents $12 000). Your Total assets would be $310 000.

For a couple with similar “other assets” and a combined super of $400 000, your total assets would be $460 000.

SituationAsset LimitOther Assets*SuperDrawdown from Super @ 5%Age PensionTotal Income
Single Home-owner$301 750$60 000$250 000$12 500$28 514$41 014
Couple Home-owner
(Combined)
$451 500$60 000$400 000$20 000$42 988$62 988
Table based on a single home-owner with $310 000 total assets ($60K + $250K) and a couple home-owners with $460 000 total assets ($60K + $400K) – using Feb 2024 values for the Aged Pension and Asset Limits.

Using this mix of super and the pension, when reaching the pension qualifying age , a modest to comfortable retirement is possible under current rules when you own your own home. Also, under the Work Bonus Rules, singles can earn up to $5304 (Couples $9360) in a part-time job without affecting their aged pension.

Comfortable lifestyle (p. a.)Modest lifestyle (p. a.)
Couple $71,723Couple $46,620
Single $50981Single $32,417
ASFA calculated annual retirement requirements for those aged 65-84 (September quarter 2023) for both “comfortable” and “modest” lifestyles

February 2024 – End of Month Update

Slack Investor is IN for Australian index shares, the US Index S&P 500 and the FTSE 100.

Little movement this month for the ASX200 (+0.2%) – but, it is testing new all-time highs. Nothing happening with the FTSE 100 (0.0%) at the moment.

The S&P 500 (+5.2) and the NASDAQ 100 are hitting new record highs and Slack Investor is pleased to go with the momentum but remains nervous for these markets.

All Index pages and charts have been updated to reflect the monthly changes – (ASX IndexUK IndexUS Index).

Savings Rate and … December 2023 – End of Month Update

My last post on “Salary Sacrifice” got me thinking on the other things that I did to help myself on the journey towards financial independence. I have before stressed the importance of your savings rate as the primary tool in the box – and, more than anything, this is the number that will affect when you become financially independent.

This figure can be calculated a few ways, but for simplicity, let’s define it as your retirement savings as a percentage of your take-home pay (disposable income after taxes and deductions) – this can be calculated using fortnightly, monthly, or yearly data.You can work out your own savings rate or, if you are in a stable relationship with a combined goal, include your partner’s savings and take-home pay.

SAVINGS RATE (%) = 100 x (Total amount of Savings put aside for Retirement/Take-home Pay)

This savings rate is the percentage of your after tax income that you must be putting towards retirement – and it defines the number of years that you have to work until you can sustainably generate your expenses from your investments. There are some assumptions for the following chart:

This magical curve is presented below to bring a bit of clarity to your goal. The object is to get to the stage when your annual return on investments (Passive income) cover 100% of your expenses. This represents the beautiful state of financial independence.

From The Escape Artist – using the conservative assumption of a 5% return on your retirement portfolio after inflation.

In Australia, with compulsory superannuation, 10% of your gross salary is deducted from your wages. Taxation rates will vary, but lets just say that 10% of your gross salary is the equivalent of about 15% of your net salary (disposable income). You add your superannuation to any other retirement saving that you are doing to get your total amount of savings put aside for retirement.

Starting from scratch, from the above graph, if you worked continuously, and only relied on compulsory superannuation you enter the full-time work force and you are 42.8 years away from a retirement – where your living expenses are covered by the passive income from your retirement savings. In other words, if working continuously, a 22-year old starting full-time work will have enough passive income to cover expenses when reaching the age of 64.8 – relying solely on compulsory super.

In Australia, there is also the aged pension to kick things along after age 67. Obviously, if you want to retire sooner and have a bit extra for holidays, and to allow a bit of a safety margin, and be financially independent – You will have to do some extra savings towards retirement yourself.

How are people going with their savings rate?

For Australians, the compulsory superannuation system provides a sound base for retirement savings (with a working life of 42.8 years). This doesn’t factor in the government funded aged pension – subject to a means test. Currently the pension (September 2023) is $28,514 per year for a single person – But who knows if this will still be available at present levels in the future. It is best to plan for your future without it – and then accept it as a bonus if you qualify.

Although this sounds OK, any disruption to your working life (ill health, family, education, retrenchment, etc) will be a real setback to your retirement plans – Any work breaks will require additional savings for your retirement. In the US, the “average” savings rate was between 5-10% for many years. Despite some impressive savings rates during COVID-19, in July 2023, the personal saving rate in the United States amounted to 4.1 percent.

Statistic: Personal savings as a percentage of disposable income in the United States from June 2015 to August 2023 | Statista
From Statista

You would have to say … this does not bode well for a satisfying retirement for the “average” US Citizen.

What was the Slack Investor Savings Rate?

Rusted on followers of this blog will recall that I had a bit of a delayed start to thinking about retirement. I had just arrived back in Australia after a 6-year working holiday overseas. I was aged 30, broke, and the only thing I knew was that I didn’t want to continue working in the field that I was trained in – high school teaching.

Clearly Slack Investor had a bit of work to do. Once I was in regular employment again, I set about getting the financial building blocks in order. Emergency fund, house deposit … and then savings for my retirement. I did this mostly using salary sacrificing into superannuation and building up my own private share portfolio.

There is nothing Slack Investor likes more than burrowing into my financial history using the excellent and free “Sunset” international release of Microsoft Money. I use the  Australian Version. I have been using this software to track my finances since 1990 (33 years!)

Including superannuation contributions, my savings rate for retirement fluctuated between 20% and 45%. From the top graph, this represents a shifting rate that was equivalent to an overall retirement goal that required between 36.7 years and 19 years of working. Since “ground zero” at aged 30 and some extra education, I ended up working mostly full time for 28 years. Luckily, I had found a job as meteorologist that I really enjoyed.

This is not the “hard core” road to financial independence (i.e retire at 35, etc) – but Slack Investor thinks a reasonable compromise with the competing priorities of raising a family and buying a house.

Savings Rate is so important. Determine what your own savings rate needs to be to achieve your retirement goals – and automate your savings deductions as much as possible – and get cracking!.

December 2023 – End of Month Update

Happy Days. The year closes and, Slack Investor was definitely not naughty … a big December “Santa Rally” this month. All followed markets rose. The ASX 200 up a mighty 7.1%, the FTSE 100 up 4.0%, and the S&P 500 up 4.4%,

Slack Investor remains IN for the FTSE 100, the ASX 200, and the US Index S&P 500.

All Index pages and charts  have been updated to reflect the monthly changes – (ASX IndexUK IndexUS Index). The quarterly updates to the Slack Portfolio have also been completed.

Sacrifice

The Self-sacrifice of a father – Jacques Sablet (French, 1749–1803)

Slack Investor likes a bit of old art – and a picture that tells a story really floats my boat. But firstly, a bit of recognition to the fabulous Artvee site that gathers public domain files of artworks from around the world from galleries and museums.

This Jaques Sablet oil painting depicts a father returning home with a bandaged arm – where he reveals some loaves of bread to his hungry family. He has previously allowed a trainee surgeon to extract his blood in exchange for money.

Not suggesting a blood sacrifice is required these days for a loaf of bread – but a form of sacrifice that could help you on your journey to financial independence is Salary Sacrifice.

Salary Sacrifice

The key to tax-effective salary sacrifice is for the employee to take some of their remuneration in the form of concessionally taxed benefits instead of taking it all as fully assessable salary. 

H&R Block

Australia has a progressive tax system that steps up at critical income values. The advantages of salary sacrifice are that you are buying a benefit in pre-tax dollars in an arrangement with your employer – who takes out the money before you see it. For example, if you sacrifice some of your pre-tax salary for superannuation contributions – instead of being taxed at your marginal rate, you are being taxed at the superannuation contributions rate of 15%. There is a tax saving.

Australian Residents Personal Tax Rates 2023-2024
Taxable incomeTax on this income
0 – $18,200Nil
$18,201 – $45,00019c for each $1 over $18,200
$45,001 – $120,000$5,092 plus 32.5c for each $1 over $45,000
$120,001 – $180,000$29,467 plus 37c for each $1 over $120,000
$180,001 and over$51,667 plus 45c for each $1 over $180,000

The above rates are from the Australian Tax Office (ATO) and do not include the Medicare levy of 2%. There are defined things that you can “sacrifice” and pay for with pre-tax dollars. They include car expenses (loan, running costs and parking) and superannuation.

Salary Sacrifice For Superannuation

Slack Investor has always been a good saver and would save up and pay cash for a second-hand car rather than getting a car loan. The benefits of sacrificing salary for a car were small without the a car loan element. I did however see the advantages in sacrificing part of my salary for superannuation.

United Global Capital (UGC) provide the case study for worker William aged 45 who plans to retire in 20 years. He was given a pay rise of $5,000, bringing his total salary to $90,000 pa. Rather than pocket the gain, he uses the pay rise to boost his retirement savings and salary sacrifices the extra $5,000 salary into super each year

By using this strategy, he’ll sadly have less take home pay ($3275), but he will save on tax and have an extra $975 in the first year to invest into super, when compared to receiving the $5,000 as after-tax salary (see Table 1).

The real benefits are in the disciplined automatic saving of $5000 per year and the magic of compounding over 20 years. If he continued to salary sacrifice this amount into super, this could lead to William having an additional $228,500 in his super after 20 years (see Table 2).

From United Global Capital (UGC)

You can enter your own salary details using the Industry fund salary sacrifice calculator.

There is also another advantage of salary sacrifice – for getting into the property market using the Australian Government First Home Super Saver Scheme. It has some complexity and form filling – but it does allow you to load up your super with salary sacrificing and then withdraw up to $50 000 from your super as a first home deposit.

There are drawbacks to salary sacrifice … the main one being that even though there is an overall benefit to your wealth position – it is not realised till you retire and start using your superannuation – this may be many years away. Your overall take-home pay will immediately reduce – which is a tough ask in these higher prices times.

Slack Investor is no stranger to delayed gratification and loves to automate his savings … so salary sacrificing to super was a good strategy for me and my partner. There was always competition for funds with paying off my home loan – and, I never got to using the maximum amount allowed for salary sacrificing per year (Currently $27 500 per year) … but it was always my aim.

Salary sacrifice was a worthwile element in the Slack Investor path to financial independence.