July 2019 – End of Month Update … and FY2019 Nuggets and Stinkers

Slack Investor remains IN for Australian index shares, the US Index S&P 500 and the FTSE 100. The Slack Investor followed overseas markets are all in positive territory this month ( ASX 200 +2.9%; FTSE100 +2.2%;  S&P500 +1.3%). All markets are still “exuberent”. However, checking out the US Yield Curve indicator at GuruFocus , the indicator again shows a weak positive result (Near zero, Just … +0.09%) so my monthly stop losses for Index funds are temporarily “switched off”.

All Index pages and charts  have been updated to reflect the monthly changes – (ASX IndexUK IndexUS Index).

Slack Investor Stinkers – FY 2019

From Pixabay

Stinkers are part of investing in growth stocks. Growth stocks usually have a high Return on Equity (ROE>15%). By their nature, they have a relatively high PE ratio and are usually punished in the markets during reporting season if there is any bad news – and I am not too worried when this occurs – It is the total performance of the portfolio that counts. If they breach their monthly stop loss – I will review the stocks and ask myself the question – Factoring in what I know now about this company, would I still buy this stock at its current price? – If not, out it goes!

The percentage yearly returns quoted in this post include costs (brokerage) but are before tax. This raw figure can then be compared with other investment returns.

Costa Group (CGC) -34%

This should be a lesson to Slack Investor … try to avoid growth companies that do not set the price of its products i.e. are “price takers”. This agricultural company had some earnings revisions during January and May due to weather and some difficulties in their Morocco operations. I have hung in and still own the company as it looks cheap on projected price earnings … but another downgrade would test my good humour.

Costa Group (CGC) Daily Chart with some bad news in January and May 2019

Challenger (CGF) -30%

I have been listening to the story of this company for ages. Its income products (annuities) should really appeal to the retiring baby boomers. However, there has been a long slide in price of its shares. In a bit of “hands on” research, I had a look at their CarePlus product for a relative moving into Aged Care – Their package was difficult to sign up to, and the web examples used were underwhelming. Perhaps they market more to financial advisors than for retail investors. The good thing about reviewing the chart of a stock every week is that eventually you “wake up”. I sold the shares in March.

Dishonourable mentions to Corporate Travel (CTD), Platinum Capital (PMC) and Worley Parsons (WOR), which all lost more than 10% this financial year.

Slack Investor Gold Nuggets – FY 2019

By investing in companies with high return on Equity with a track record of increasing earnings, you can expose yourself to some pleasant surprises. The Return on Equity (ROE) and forward Price Earnings (PE) ratio values for each stock are found on the excellent Market Screener site.

ProMedicus (PME) +148%

Pro Medicus is an Australian company that produces medical imaging software for hospitals and medical specialists. Their products are used worldwide and there are e projected increasing sales. Their ROE 2020 is an excellent 41%,however, their projected PE ratio for 2020 is over 100. This is dangerous over value territory – and I am watching this stock closely for any price declines. But until then, I am riding this horse home.

Appen (APX) +101%

Appen supplies data services to global tech companies and their language division provides machine-learning technologies for devices. Perhaps because I don’t really understand what they do and because of their high estimated 2020 PE ratio of 61. I said thanks very much and then I got out of this stock last month. However, the price of this stock is still climbing! Ouch!

Rhipe (RHP) +79%

Rhipe is another tech company that I had a speculative interest in. It provides software licences that help their clients transition into a “cloud” environment. Rhipe has a working relationship with Microsoft in Australia but their high 2020 projected PE of 39 makes it another stock that may be overvalued and I am watching it closely.

Altium (ALU) +53%

Another fantastic year for ALU The designing of integrated circuit boards for technology products is proving to be a lucrative business. A high 2020 projected PE of 39 is a concern -but I really am smitten with this company – as they have been great growers of their business.

Service Stream (SSM) +52%

Service stream provides network services to Utility companies. This is the sort of company that Slack Investor loves. A high ROE of 20% and a reasonable 2020 projected PE of 19 with anticipated earnings growth.

Honourable mentions for Slack Investor portfolio stocks AMC and RHC that increased more than 20% in this financial year.

Slack Investor Total SMSF performance – FY 2019 

In another good year for shares where Chant West reports median growth super funds made 7%, the FY 19 Slack Investor preliminary Total SMSF performance looks like coming in around 20%. Anyone can fluke one good year so 5-yr performance is a more useful benchmark to me and the Slack Portfolio now has a compounding annual 5-yr return of over 18%.

Not bad Slack Investor … now get back on the couch … with full FY 2019 results and benchmarks next post.

Robo On

When Robo Advice gets it wrong … Exterminate Financial Freedom! – Image from aminoapps.com

Last month’s post on robo advice had a look at a couple of options … but there is more. They all work in much the same way. In the “old days”, to enter the investing world you would have to register with a broker (e.g. Self Wealth, CommSec) to get access to shares or Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) – and you would be charged brokerage for each buy and sell. Each ETF also has a management fee (usually 0.10% to 0.50% per year) but that is deducted from your returns internally.

A recent Choice article outlines two things have worked against young people investing in the stock market. Firstly, a lack of knowledge about how to start investing, and then, not having a decent stash of money saved up to make broker fees worthwhile.

With the robo advisors, small amounts are no problem. For a monthly fee they take care of the purchasing and the brokerage – This is usually a much easier experience as it takes less thought and action.

  • From the robo advice website you open an account and establish your identity.
  • After a few questions to get your risk profile, the robo advisor will suggest a portfolio of ETFs.
  • Your bank account details must be given to fund your initial portfolio of ETFs.
  • You might also setup a regular investment and some of the robo advisors ( Raiz and FirstStep have a cool rounding feature where your everyday card purchases are rounded to the nearest dollar – and the rounding excess will go towards your portfolio.
  • The Robo Adviser does regular rebalancing of your portfolio.

Robo your Investing

Lets Robo On, Six park, Stockspot, Raiz, Clover, QuietGrowth and FirstStep have some great offerings and are worth a look.

ROBO ADVISORFee Schedule$2,500 portfolio fees pa$10,000 portfolio fees pa$200,000 portfolio fees pa
Six ParkMinimum $10000. Management Fee 0.4% to 0.5%……$50$1,000
StockspotFixed fee of $66 pa for balances < $10k with asset based fees of 0.396% to 0.66% pa$66$66$1,320
Raiz$1.25 per month <$5K; 0.275% pa >$5K$15$27.50$550
CloverMinimum $2500. $5.50 per month <$10K; 0.45% -0.65% pa >$10K$66$71.50$1,210
QuietgrowthMinimum $2000. Promotion No Monthly Fees <$10K; 0.40% – 0.60% pa >$10K$0$0$1,045
First Step$1.25 per month <$5500; 0.275% pa >$5500$15$27.50$550

The above prices were compiled July 2019 and should be checked before you start investing.

Robo your Super

All of the above Robo advisors will help you build up your ETF investments as a “side hustle”. But, there is a new way of adding to your existing super (hopefully you have made an effort to make sure it is an Industry Fund!) in a relatively painless way. Longevity has a mobile phone app that automatically tops up your Super calculated as a percentage of your everyday purchases – into whatever super account you choose. It is based on your everyday spending and then calculated as a percentage of your spend (default 1% – but go higher if you can -and maybe a set amount each payday!). At the minimum, if you spend $200 on groceries, this will generate a 2 dollar deduction at the end of the month. You can limit your monthly deductions to an amount – so that you don’t go negative in your everyday account.

Because Longevity operates in the superannuation environment it is taxed favourably compared to investments outside of super where earnings are taxed at your marginal tax rate.

What to do Now?

There is always a bit of inertia involved to enter the world of investing. More experienced investors who already have a lump of cash and a disciplined approach to saving perhaps don’t need savings apps like Raiz. They could buy ETF’s directly through a discount broker (e.g Self Wealth), or setup a more sophisticated robo account with Stockspot. Robo investment apps such as those in the above table aren’t after this demographic. Most Robo Advice platforms are targeting younger people who might not otherwise start investing until much later in life.

“Raiz aims to encourage its customers to be mindful of their spending and to start saving and investing some of their income … the average Raiz customer has made 11% per annum since launch

Raiz’s Managing Director, George Lucas. from Choice

Simple steps

When in doubt, do something.

Singer-Songwriter Harry Chapin of “Cats in the Cradle” fame

The beauty of Robo Apps and instruments is that they are an easy way for anyone to start investing. Slack Investor says … just start! The rounding and transactional nature of Raiz and Firststep really appeal to me. Slack Investor likes this sort of painless saving and would get either of these apps as a great first step into investing. I wish these vehicles were around in my younger days. There are risks involved (i.e. share prices going down!) – but hey, That’s Investing – and the risks diminish over period of time (say, 5 years) – According to ASIC, Risk is part of the investing experience.

Given the huge returns money invested early in life can generate, the costs of the lower priced robo devices (e.g Raiz, FirstStep, Longevity) of around $1.25 a month is very reasonable. Pick a platform, install their app and set your contributions – You are launched into the wonderful world of investing – get on that road!

June 2019 – End of Month Update … and “nudging” to good financial habits

Slack Investor remains IN for Australian index shares, the US Index S&P 500 and the FTSE 100.  If last month was a “Risk Off” then for the month of June they have slapped on the crazy pants and become definitely “Risk On”. The Slack Investor followed overseas markets have bounced back from a shocker last month (FTSE100 +3.7%;  S&P500 +6.9%) and the ASX 200 powered on with +3.5%. All markets are above the monthly stop losses – but feeling a bit “frothy”. However, checking out the US Yield Curve indicator at GuruFocus shows a weak positive result (Near zero, Just … +0.09%) so my monthly stop losses for Index funds are temporarily “switched off”.

All Index pages and charts  have been updated to reflect the monthly changes – (ASX IndexUK IndexUS Index). – As it is the end of the Financial year and quarter, the Slack Portfolio has been updated with some stock exits and a gradual build up of cash. Now over 8% – A slack record!

Give us a Nudge

The classic Monty Python “Nudge Nudge” sketch – the full delights of this 3-minute romp can be found on youtube

We frail human beings do not behave rationally. It is easy to project a path to a well funded retirement on paper – yet so few really achieve it. A couple of clever cognitive psychologists , Danny Kahneman and Amos Tversky put some effort into studying human behaviour.

Mr Kahneman, an Israeli-American psychologist and Nobel economics laureate, has delivered a full catalogue of the biases, shortcuts and cognitive illusions to which our species regularly succumbs. In doing so he makes it plain that Homo economicus—the rational model of human behaviour beloved of economists—is as fantastical as a unicorn.

From The Economist – Not So Smart Now

To account for our lack of rational behaviour -it is sometimes necessary to give ourselves a nudge in the right direction by tricking our feeble brains into good habits.

Compulsory Saving

The best way to save money is to convince yourself that you didn’t really have it in the first place – and, as the new financial year starts, this is the time … seize the day and quarantine some of your hard earned cash.

There are lots of ways to do this

  • Direct debit funds to your Savings account from your transaction account – After every payday, set up a regular direct debit instruction with your bank to divert funds to your online savings account
  • Add to your Super – Set up with your paymaster to add to your superannuation through salary sacrifice – the first $25000 is taxed at only 15%. Or, you can make a contribution straight from your bank account directly to your super fund but there is a bit of ATO paperwork to claim its tax-free status.
  • Use a bit of robo technology to set up periodic payments and rounding up of your daily transactions – Use Raiz to set up a savings account that invests your savings in shares and bonds or Longevity to add to your super account – More on these robo bits next post.

May 2019 – End of Month Update … and, that recession vibe

Slack Investor remains IN for Australian index shares, the US Index S&P 500 and the FTSE 100.  In what the cool investor analyst types call a “Risk Off” month there were big falls in Slack Investor followed overseas markets (FTSE100 -3.5%;  S&P500 -6.6%) – but for the moment, still above the monthly stop losses. Checking out the US Yield Curve indicator at GuruFocus shows a negative result  (Just … -0.05% though!) so my monthly stop losses for Index funds are definitely “live”.

The Australian ASX200 had a positive month (+1.1%) – but this was due mainly to the election of a “business-friendly” government on May 18. General nervousness prevails though.

All Index pages and charts  have been updated to reflect the monthly changes – (ASX IndexUK IndexUS Index). 

That Recession Vibe

Trump and Xi are shaping up for a trade war and I don’t like the smell of it … especially with news reports such as “If you want to talk, the door is open; if you want to fight, we’ll fight to the end,” said a Chinese TV anchor, capturing the mood in Beijing. – Image from Business Insider

Slack Investor is no great predictor of trends – But, whenever things are going well in the stock market, experienced investors naturally get skittish – Particularly when two belligerent world leaders are at loggerheads. There is a chance that all of this will get solved at the next G-20 in June. But Bloomberg analysts think it is more likely that the trade war will be long, messy—and expensive. Thanks Donald!

(The US economy is going OK) but … other countries remain sluggish or are slowing. Diminishing global growth could drag down the U.S. also. … although the Federal Reserve is now signaling a halt in its rate hiking, it has raised interest rates nine times since December 2015. At some point, those higher rates become the gravitational force that pulls down stock prices.

From Ray Martin at CBS News

All of this uncertainty is talked about constantly in the media and with trade war stuff thrown in as well, as all fans of The Castle know … ” It’s the Vibe!”, When all of this negative stuff gets too much. for a quick recession-busting refresher, try this Youtube highlights clip from the film.

Slack Investor has mentioned one of the pre-indicators of a recession, the US Bond Yield Curve, which has just gone into the “Red Zone”. The economist boffins have been very diligent at Citibank and have tracked a range of 18 economic statistics up to the end of April. The US Yield curve is just one of these and is #6 on the list. They compare current statistics with those from previous “proper” recessions.

The Citibank Global Bear Market Checklist

Citi’s Bear Market Checklist (BMC) shows only 4 out of 18 red flags, and suggests that it is too early to call the end of this ten year bull market. In previous cycles, the BMC red flags have accumulated gradually before rising exponentially in the last year of the bull market. Citi analysts would be more concerned when 7-8 factors are flagging caution.

From Citi Insights

So Slack Investor does what he does best … and leaves the economics research to those who can do it well … business as usual. There are a couple of my individual stocks (CTD, CGC, PMC) that are on the slide and may need attention. I will look at their numbers and outlooks (and charts) again this week on Market Screener . But other than that, I will ease, ever so slowly, into the couch.

Financial Advice – If you Must

Cartoon from the most witty and prolific Mark Lynch from toonpool

Slack Investor has long been in the school of “Educate Yourself” in financial matters and maintains this is the best way to do it – But a lot of people (Obviously not Slack Investor readers!) find financial organization very difficult. It is complicated to be across all the intricacies of saving, mortgages, superannuation, taxation, and investment. However, you can draw upon the wisdom of some smart financial bloggers here – Check out the Slack Blogroll – the internet is your friend.

If you must see a financial advisor, after the initial consultation, they will prepare a Statement of Advice – which should be the guiding document for your circumstances and contain a full disclosure of their fees.

According to the Productivity Commission, almost half of Australian adults need financial advice. With the industry coming under criticism for greed and conflicts of interest, it is difficult for consumers to be confident that they are receiving good advice.

from ABC News

Prepare for Layers of Fees

From Youtube

Let’s start with an example provided by ASIC – which I assume reflects typical financial advisor costs. Edward engages a financial planner to get a statement of advice together for his $400000 (including super). The adviser offers to put together a financial plan for $3,500 with a further implementation fee of $1,500. This almost doesn’t sound too bad so far – But, it is instructive to look at the full breakdown of costs below. Platform fees, ongoing advice fees, management fees and insurance premiums will result in poor Edward getting slugged $14000 in the first year and $9000 ongoing per annum. If these costs are typical, this is outrageous – He is paying 3.5% of his wealth initially, and then 2.3% ongoing. The fees can usually be paid separately or deducted from your investment income as part of your annual statement.

Example given by ASIC showing a financial advisor fee structure for the investing of Edwards assets of $400K From ASIC – Financial Advice Costs

The Hayne Royal commission exposed many cases where advisors were conflicted by personal gains (commissions, etc) when giving financial guidance. A lot of the commissions have been banned now, but there are sometimes internal incentives to recommend certain products. I don’t want to besmirch all advisors here, but it makes sense that you would have the best chance of getting good advice if your advisor was truly independent – There aren’t many of these according to ABC news, only about 60 in Australia – All are registered with the Independent Financial Advisers Association of Australia (IFAAA). But even with the independents, be wary of costs.


Cartoon from the equally witty and prolific Randy Glasbergen from source

If you don’t want to take the full responsibility for the nuts and bolts of financial independence onto yourself, I can see real benefits in seeing a knowledgeable fee-for-service financial advisor to set up a one-off tax effective savings structure that will guide you through the mid-thirties through till retirement. Or, it may be wise to get help for specific situations e.g., Self Managed Superannuation strategies.

Where I don’t see value is the too common situation where people front up to the financial planners on the doorstep of retirement with their life savings. There is the potential for an avalanche of fees – as well as the up front costs, each recommended product will have its own management fees.

Alternatives

Naturally, Slack Investor looks to reduce fees where possible. If you don’t want to go it alone along the “full monty” self-education route, there are some cheaper alternatives to the traditional financial advice model emerging. These Robo-Advice structures show promise for some aspects of the financial advisor’s job – How to steadily accumulate wealth and then, how to turn this wealth into an income to support your retirement. It’s new, it’s exciting it’s … Robo, it’s coming next month.

April 2019 – End of Month Update … and, Lets Get Concessional

Slack Investor remains IN for Australian index shares, the US Index S&P 500 and the FTSE 100.  Bumper times this month.

There were rises in all  Slack Investor followed markets (ASX200 +2.9%; FTSE100 +1.3%;  S&P500 +3.9%).  All Index pages and charts  have been updated to reflect the monthly changes – (ASX Index, UK Index, US Index).

Concessional Contributions – Lets Get Concessional!

Thanks Jane … You are inspirational to our financial independence – From deskgram.net

If you are just starting your savings program or getting your house deposit together, then this is another higher order issue to leave alone. If you have got the basics organized and have a good chunk of equity in your house, and looking to boost your super in a tax-effective way – then tune in to this super boost before the end of tax year.

Concessional contributions include your employer’s compulsory super guarantee contribution of 9.5% and any salary sacrifice contributions that you make. They are called “concessional” contributions because they go into your super account from your before-tax income and are taxed at the “concessional” rate of 15% rather than your “marginal” rate. You are not allowed to exceed the $25,000 cap on concessional contributions, so it is important to get your sums right.

For a gross salary of $90,000, your employer pays the 9.5% super guarantee of $8,550 to your nominated super fund. That means you have up to $16,450 ($25,000 -$8,550) left on your cap to concessionally contribute to super before June 30 – to save on tax and boost super.

Salaried workers can concessionally contribute by using salary sacrifice, but this involves prior employer agreement and using a salary packaging company to do the administration. Some of the contribution rules have relaxed since July 2017 and you can now contribute by Personal Contribution. There are pros and cons of each contribution method, but as personal contributions don’t need the agreement of a third-party, I find this much easier to do.

You will have to let your super fund know that you are claiming a tax deduction for this contribution. Use a standard ATO personal contribution form or, it is simpler with some super funds where an online application is all that is needed. You must get your contribution to land in your super fund before the June 30 deadline.

Benefits of salary sacrifice and additional concessional contributions

If your marginal tax rate is higher than 15%, making extra super contributions can reduce your tax. For the $90,000 a year example, your marginal tax rate is 32.5% + Medicare levy. Concessional super is taxed at just 15%. If your marginal tax is higher, you can save more. Industry super has a calculator where you can enter your own figures. For the case above, a 45-year-old will have a tax saving of $3222 this year and an extra $405,000 at retirement by maximizing concessional contribution.

From the Industry Super Funds Calculator for a 45-year-old on $90,000 who maximizes their concessional contributions and save $3222 this year – and ends up with an extra $405,000 at retirement with these assumptions.

Let’s get concessional, concessional,
I want to get concessional,
Let’s get into concessional,
Let me hear your body talk, your body talk …

Many apologies to Olivia Newton John … for real inspiration, check out the Olivia on youtube

APRA … its even better than OPRAH

from Source

Hang on Slack Investor … What are you saying? Oprah, the font of lifestyle guidance … has a rival! How can the Australian regulatory authority APRA match Oprah wisdom that spouts such useful advice as this …

You can either see yourself as a wave in the ocean – or you can see yourself as the ocean – Oprah Winfrey – Source

Wheras Oprah has been an inspiration to millions, Slack Investor has a different, more researched, inspiration … he has fallen in love with an Australian statutory body – APRA is the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority.

Australia’s total superannuation assets rate of return – From APRA report 

Oh APRA …. I do love you … You are the Ocean … it’s the indifference that you show me … the complete lack of spin … just information …. Oooohhh! you may have let us down in the distant past (HIH collapse, 2001),  but your new muscular stance on differentiating between superannuation products is appealing … it gives me hope for all statutory bodies. One of APRA’s duties is to collect information on the superannuation sector and report. They report the total superannuation assets in Australia grew to $2.7 trillion in the year to June 2018. The Self Managed Super sector has a staggering 27.7% of these funds. Slack Investor is gladly part of this self managed sector and enjoys the flexibility of an SMSF. Last years average rate of return for all super funds was almost 8%.

The chart shows some great annualized Australian super returns for the past 5 -years of 7.9% 

The Productivity Commissioner and Slack Investor hero Karen Chester argues that there is a need for the Super system to look after the default member who is likely to remain disengaged.

“what workers need is not “bells and whistles” – which bring with them higher fees – but “low-cost, top performers” with a “balanced investment strategy” Karen Chester From The Guardian

From APRA – Source

APRA continues to monitor performance of Industry vs Retail Funds and the yearly percentage advantage of having Industry funds(rather than Retail) is shown above.

While we wait for the politicians to act on these matters, get engaged and consolidate your super into one fund – and it should probably be an Industry fund. If Slack Investor can’t motivate you – then perhaps Oprah can … Right On Oprah!

“If you’re sitting around waiting on somebody to save you, to fix you, to even help you, you are wasting your time because only you have the power to take responsibility to move your life forward.” Oprah Winfrey – Source

Productivity Commission has Cunning Plan for Super

The Productivity Commission have a plan worthy of  BlackadderImage may be subject to copyright

The Draft Report of the Productivity Commission (PC) into superannuation was discussed last post. The report identifies four main problems with Australia’s superannuation model that adversely impact the final payout. Underperformance, Multiple Accounts; High fees; and Expensive insurance. Slack Investor will look at a couple of the recommendations of the PC.

From PC Superannuation report 2016

Not all funds … is good funds!

The PC found that nearly 5 million accounts are in underperforming funds. They defined a low benchmark (BP2) which was the average performance of all MySuper accounts and the chart shows the cluster of purple retail funds at the in the poor returns of the bottom left (Plus a few laggard industry funds … Shame!)

PC Superannuation report 2016

The performance of a fund was found to be the most critical factor in determining your compulsory super payout. You could potentially save $375 000 by getting this right. The PC came up with a cunning plan to counteract the disengagement of younger members of the workforce. The Productivity Commission propose that the default super choice for when you first start work is one of the 10 best performing funds – Cunning but Brilliant!- You  automatically get put into one of the historically best performing funds at a time when you are likely not that skilled in picking a fund yourself.

PC Superannuation report 2016

… members should be placed into a default fund once and that fund would be derived from a ‘best in show’ list of high‑performing funds identified by an independent and expert panel.

I would hope that all workers retain the right to eventually move to a fund of their choice – but it is a fine first step to put new workers into one of the funds with an established good record. To Slack Investor, this panel sounds like a cushy job – If my  application to be Reserve Bank governator is rejected, I would be like to be on that panel!

One Super account for life …. How Bout that!

…  one third of accounts, …  are unintended multiple accounts that are costing members $2.6 million a year in fees and insurance premiums.

From Pixabay

A structural fault with our current system is that  new superannuation accounts are usually created with each new job or new union award – if you are not proactive it is easy to accumulate a handful of super funds before you are 30. The inefficiency of this structure just leaks money out of your retirement accounts in a myriad of fees that profit the funds .

What to do … Now!

In the meantime, not advice, but this is what I would do. Don’t wait for the PC final report … or the politicians … Get  Engaged (Part 1, Part 2) and immediately get online and check on the performance stats of your current super fund(s). If you are more than 5 years from retirement, I would be in a high growth option of your super fund. You usually do have choice!

Look at the table below assembled from data on the most excellent site   Selecting Super and compare it with your current fund performance. Those wanting a more interactive experience should try the Stockspot site. If your fund’s performance results look bad (i.e. 5-yr less than 10%; 10-yr less than 5.6%) then lose your love for that fund and move on!

In what can only be described as a blatant display of my skills to get on the “best in show” panel, I have made my own “best in show” list and ranked the growth super funds according to their 5-year performance. I have only included the funds that are open to everyone, and … in over-achieving style, have listed the top 20 … yes 20! Followers of Slack Investor will find it no surprise that Retail Funds did not perform well enough to be in the top 20.

Fund 1-year 3-year 5-year 7-year 10-year
Intrust Core Super – Growth 12.40% 9.00% 12.00% 10.00% 6.10%
VicSuper FutureSaver – Equity Growth 11.90% 8.30% 11.90% 7.10%
StatewideSuper – High Growth 11.50% 9.40% 11.70%
Cbus Industry Super – High Growth 11.60% 9.30% 11.60% 10.60% 7.00%
AustSafe Super Industry – Super Growth 13.40% 8.80% 11.60% 10.10% 6.20%
HOSTPLUS – Shares Plus 12.50% 9.50% 11.30% 10.00% 7.10%
AustralianSuper – High Growth 10.30% 8.50% 11.10% 9.90% 6.50%
LegalSuper – High Growth 10.50% 8.30% 11.10% 9.80% 6.00%
Prime Super (Prime Division) – Managed Growth 10.40% 9.50% 11.00% 9.50% 4.00%
Catholic Super – Aggressive 10.60% 8.90% 11.00% 9.90% 7.30%
Club Plus Industry Division – High Growth 13.00% 9.40% 10.80% 9.60% 5.90%
Rest Super – High Growth 9.60% 7.70% 10.80% 10.00% 7.30%
HOSTPLUS – Balanced 11.00% 8.70% 10.60% 9.70% 6.70%
CareSuper – Growth 9.90% 8.10% 10.60% 9.70% 7.20%
First State Super Employer – High Growth 10.80% 7.70% 10.60% 9.90% 7.10%
TWUSUPER – Equity Plus Option 10.30% 7.90% 10.50% 9.40% 5.90%
Energy Super – Growth 9.20% 8.10% 10.40% 9.40% 7.10%
Media Super – High Growth 9.80% 7.80% 10.40% 9.20% 6.20%
HESTA – Shares Plus 10.70% 7.70% 10.30% 9.40% 6.90%
MTAA Super – Growth 9.30% 8.20% 10.20% 8.00% 3.50%

Once you have made your choice, and opened up a fund that you are happy with (if required, contact fund and get account number first) now consolidate all accounts to your one favoured fund using My Gov ATO Portal. Let your employer know of your new choice for future contributions.

If you are 21, according to the Productivity Commission, you might have just saved yourself up to $426 000 in retirement funds. If you are 55, you could save $55 000. – Still, that’s not a bad days work!

May 2018 – End of Month Update … and the Productivity Commission creates new Hero

Slack Investor remains IN for US, UK and Australian index shares.

The Australian Index (+0.5%) has been a bit of a laggard with the banks still generating bad news and signs of the Australian property market starting to slow. The UK Index (+2.3%) and the US index (+2.2%) have continued to have solid growth.

The good news on the Australian Index (ASX 200) is the opportunity for Slack Investor to crinch up his stop loss from 5629 to 5724. A small movement upwards, but I always like doing this as it means that the Index has now set a new “higher low” The explanation for this technical stuff can be found here. A new “low” (or minimum) has been established at 5724 and this is my new stop loss on the monthly chart

Monthly chart for the ASX 200 – From Incredible Charts

All Index pages and charts  have been updated to reflect the monthly changes – (ASX Index, UK Index, US Index).

Productivity Commission gives the Super Industry a bit of a “Ginger Up”

I have been a fan of Australia’s Productivity Commission (PC) ever since I read their 2010 report into the sorry state of Gambling in Australia. The report is full of thought provoking and shameful material like- Australia is the world leader in  number of poker (slot) machines per capita and Australia leads the world in gambling losses per person – but I digress…

From Pixabay

The “Ginger Up” refers to an ancient horse racing practice that I wont elaborate on here – but it does make me squirm! The PC have just delivered their draft report on the state of Superannuation in Australia. God bless them .. they have put in “black and white” the rorts that exist in Australia’s good but not great superannuation system – and they have created a new Slack Investor hero.

The lead author in the report is the Productivity Commission deputy chair Karen Chester who has delighted Slack Investor with the following refreshing quote. Ms Chester’s attitude  was like a snowball in the face after the my last depressing post on the mostly self interested world of banks and financial advisers.

Karen Chester – Photo from Quentin Jones

“the only thing I care about is member outcomes” from source

The Productivity Commission identifies two structural problems with Australia’s super model. The unintended creation of multiple accounts and the entrenched underperformance of some of the super funds that are allocated to the employee.

From Productivity Commission Superannuation report.

“Members are really lost in the weeds of product proliferation with 40,000 products. They’re bamboozled by poor disclosure and … poor advice.” Karen Chester from source

I am hoping that Ms Chester will get the final report out with haste. Slack Investor loves the smell of the draft report. The Federal Government would do well to take up her recommendations. The info graphic above puts some real world figures on what might happen if the PC recommended changes to Australia’s superannuation model are adopted.

It is a promising sign that the current Finance minister seems to recognize the problem.

“Super has become worse than a honey pot; it’s a trough.” – Financial Services Minister Kelly O’Dwyer  source

Slack investor will look at the “trough” and PC draft recommendations in the next post. There are things you can do right now to protect your super.

The Royal Commission into Finance … Yes Please!

David Rowe cartoon From the Australian Financial Review – May be subject to Copyright

The incomparable David Rowe has a daily habit of drawing great cartoons. This image describes the current situation with the excrement covered big 4 Australian bank pigs dragging the Australian Treasurer and the Minister for Revenue and Financial Services along for the ride in front of the Royal Commission.

Lets start again with the astounding ASIC revelation

ASIC found that in 75% of the advice files reviewed the advisers did not demonstrate compliance with the duty to act in the best interests of their clients. Further, 10% of the advice reviewed was likely to leave the customer in a significantly worse financial position. 

Lets get this straight … I rock up to to a financial planner and I only have a 1 in 4 chance to get some advice in my best interests …. and, I have a one in ten chance of ending up in a significantly worse situation … What is going on !!!! – these are the people who many depend upon for sound financial advice.

The sad case of Sam Henderson

Sam Henderson outside the Royal Commission from news.com.au

Slack Investor writes about Sam only because he is still gobsmacked with the evidence presented to the Royal Commission on 24/04/18.

A bit of background … Sam Henderson is the very public and enthusiastic face of Henderson Maxwell, a financial advice and accounting firm. Sam has been  everywhere in the Australian financial media  for the past few years with his own weekly TV show and newspaper columns. Slack Investor admits to being a great fan of Sam’s podcasts Sky News “Your Money Your Call” presented weekly on Thursdays. In these podcasts Sam, and others, dispense generally good advice about retirement issues and superannuation.

I have found their program to be extremely informative. They have talked a lot about Self Managed Super Funds (SMSF’s), retirement strategies and taxation – Advice that Slack Investor has found very helpful.

However, Sam has fallen foul of the Royal Commission. Henderson Maxwell charged $4950 up front to give advice to a client that would have been to her detriment – to the value of at least $500 000. It appears that Sam’s firm has acted in their own self interest rather than the clients. Specifically, Mr Henderson urged his client to establish a SMSF and remove her super investments from a generous public sector deferred benefit fund to invest in Henderson Maxwell products, which would have earned him ongoing fees.

The fees proposed by Sam Henderson’s advice would have annually amounted to $19,000 while the client’s existing strategy was costing her $2768.

Although, through this public shaming, Sam has carried a lot of the heat for the widespread malpractice by the banks and financial planners.  This case represents the huge problem with the financial industry in Australia and the reason why Slack Investor has educated himself in the dark art of finance rather than rely on a financial advisor to dictate strategy for him.

One of the most galling things about this case is that Henderson Maxwell is considered to be one of the leading firms for giving financial advice. They are the winner of the 2016 Australian Association of Financial Advisers (AFA) award for practice of the year. The AFA advertise their advisers as “Trusted, Knowledgeable, Reputable, Respected”

Slack Investor admits to being a flawed human – but he would hope that he would act ethically even as the financial system drapes its lucrative reward tentacles tantalizingly in front of him. In the case before the Commission, Sam Henderson responded to financial incentive.

What is wrong with the Financial Advice Industry?

Charlie Munger -Source

“Show me the incentives and I will show you the outcome” –  

Charlie is vice- Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway and dispenser of financial common sense – another Slack Investor Official Hero

This sums things up. At the moment most financial advisors are given incentives to sell their own products – there is no incentive to represent the best interests of their clients. The regulator ASIC has done a review of the quality of financial advice that had been provided to SMSF’s, and found that

90% of cases had failed to be in clients’ best interests.

It is hoped that the Royal Commission will accelerate change. The Financial Review reported that four years ago the head of the Financial Planning Association (FPA) called on financial planners to unite and push for the separation of product from advice. In the meantime, the vertically integrated financial planning money machine with its fees and trailing commissions has kept on rolling on …

The Hayne Train should address these issues before finally pulling up to the station – While we are waiting, if you really need a financial planner, only use a truly independent advisor  registered with IFAAA – No affiliations with product, no commissions and no asset fees . There will be an upfront fee for the advisor’s service – but this fee should be small in comparison to the ongoing costs associated with the lifetime tenure of an affiliated advisor.